NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	100		Excitement	5.6 [690]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +30.5%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	1.0 [1127]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -17.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	6	88%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Popeye Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	19	42%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Herren	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	5	50%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	23	49%	0.02	5	-0.16	5	100%	-0.00
George McCloud	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.29	0.04	0.02	26	75%	0.31	0	0.00	15	87%	0.06
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	6	46%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	6	57%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.02	7	83%	0.13	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.3	25.4	17.2	26.3	2.4	28.6	130.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.1%

PHX +2.7%

DEN -0.9%

DEN -7.6%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	16.5	15.2	100.0	118.9	101.7
season	14.8	14.8		101.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		96.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.1	13.8	12.6	14.3	13.1
PHX	14.7	17.0	15.7	19.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Herren	33	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.24	13	-26	39	13.2	13.0	0.17	17.3	16.1	1.15
Ryan Bowen	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	12.6	13.2	-0.60	13.2	16.8	-3.58
George McCloud	56	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-17	21	12.7	13.6	-0.84	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Popeye Jones	38	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-1	-11	13.4	12.9	0.52	14.1	17.8	-3.69
Antonio McDyess	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	12.9	13.2	-0.25	18.6	15.1	3.46
Raef LaFrentz	71	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-14	15	13.7	11.7	2.03	17.3	14.5	2.74
James Posey	48	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-2	-9	13.3	12.9	0.41	16.8	16.3	0.56
Keon Clark	46	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	2	-17	12.2	13.8	-1.59	16.1	16.9	-0.73
Ron Mercer	94	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	2	-17	13.2	12.0	1.17	16.8	12.7	4.12
Nick Van Exel	67	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.12	-26	13	-39	13.0	13.2	-0.17	16.1	17.3	-1.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	85	89	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.05	24	-11	35	16.2	19.4	-3.21	13.2	12.3	0.93
Corie Blount	41	45	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-3	19	15.8	17.1	-1.31	13.1	13.1	0.02
Rodney Rogers	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	16.1	17.0	-0.93	13.1	13.2	-0.10
Jason Kidd	69	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-1	15	16.1	17.7	-1.61	12.6	14.4	-1.79
Randy Livingston	29	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	17.0	16.3	0.63	13.6	12.9	0.70
Toby Bailey	56	60	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	15	-17	16.3	16.8	-0.46	12.8	13.6	-0.83
Todd Day	46	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	15	-17	17.8	15.4	2.39	13.8	12.5	1.26
Tom Gugliotta	42	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	12	-11	17.0	16.1	0.93	13.2	13.1	0.10
Luc Longley	54	55	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	16	-19	17.1	15.8	1.31	13.1	13.1	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 100, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 108, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%