NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +8.1%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	2.5 [379]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	20	55%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.07	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	25	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.08	0.03	19	43%	-0.08	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	6	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.01	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	79%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	73%	0.18	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	16	56%	0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	25.1	18.4	22.4	1.8	36.0	128.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.7%

IND +5.3%

LAL -2.3%

LAL -3.3%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.2	107.4	118.1	101.7
season	15.3	15.4		105.6	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		101.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	14.0	18.9	16.0	15.3
IND	15.3	15.4	14.7	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	33	34	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	-0.12	1	-10	11	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.3	15.6	-1.33
A.C. Green	42	41	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.4	15.0	0.35
Ron Harper	71	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	14.7	17.0	-2.21	15.4	14.5	0.84
Derek Fisher	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Robert Horry	52	52	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-8	7	15.4	15.1	0.30	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Glen Rice	66	65	-0.48	-0.03	-0.45	-0.07	-14	5	-19	14.8	16.6	-1.79	14.9	15.8	-0.95
Shaquille O'Neal	91	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	-1	-7	15.7	5.7	9.98	15.6	4.7	10.88
Kobe Bryant	76	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	3	-15	16.1	12.2	3.87	15.6	13.6	2.00

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	48	48	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.19	18	-9	27	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Reggie Miller	83	83	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.22	15	-6	21	14.7	18.9	-4.23	15.0	17.4	-2.42
Austin Croshere	38	38	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-3	15	15.5	14.9	0.60	15.8	15.0	0.76
Jalen Rose	82	83	0.57	-0.06	0.63	0.22	12	-3	15	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.6	13.5	2.07
Travis Best	40	40	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	3	3	15.4	15.0	0.44	15.4	15.3	0.12
Mark Jackson	54	55	0.02	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	6	-3	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Dale Davis	56	57	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	12	-15	14.9	15.5	-0.60	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Rik Smits	46	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	18	-27	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.5	15.1	0.36
Chris Mullin	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	18	-27	15.9	14.9	0.98	15.5	15.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.92,1	92.4%
IND 85, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%
GSW 100, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	92.1%