NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	1.4 [1264]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +7.2%
San Antonio Spurs	127		Comeback	1.1 [1177]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -5.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	87%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	85%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	9	22%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	14	52%	-0.02	5	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	4	70%	0.01	3	0.05	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	13	58%	0.05	4	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	83%	0.03	4	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	91%	0.00	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	12	71%	-0.00	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.4	28.5	17.4	25.5	2.7	24.8	129.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.0%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +8.3%

SAS +11.8%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAS	NBA	ORL	SAS	NBA
this game	12.5	14.8	15.2	87.6	119.8	101.7
season	13.6	15.5		100.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		95.9	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.2	11.8	11.5	11.5	12.5
SAS	11.6	15.3	14.7	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	53	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.35	9	-44	53	11.1	14.0	-2.90	15.6	14.1	1.50
Pat Garrity	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-37	39	11.8	13.0	-1.14	15.1	14.6	0.48
Kiwane Garris	47	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-45	55	11.0	13.7	-2.75	16.1	13.8	2.25
Chucky Atkins	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-23	11	13.4	12.1	1.31	12.9	15.6	-2.72
Michael Doleac	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-38	41	11.5	13.1	-1.61	15.4	14.4	0.94
Monty Williams	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.35	-18	-17	-1	12.1	12.8	-0.74	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Chris Gatling	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-21	7	11.7	12.8	-1.07	15.1	14.7	0.43
Corey Maggette	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.26	-16	-19	3	11.7	14.0	-2.33	16.3	11.9	4.37
Ben Wallace	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.71	-33	-2	-31	13.5	11.7	1.75	15.0	14.7	0.30
John Amaechi	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.74	-37	2	-39	14.7	10.9	3.84	13.2	16.0	-2.73
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	25	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.53	-30	-5	-25	15.6	11.5	4.13	13.2	15.4	-2.14
Darrell Armstrong	47	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.77	-39	4	-43	13.9	11.4	2.49	14.1	15.4	-1.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	51	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.62	36	-1	37	12.8	16.6	-3.76	14.3	11.1	3.19
Tim Duncan	58	57	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.86	44	-9	53	13.9	15.9	-2.02	13.9	10.8	3.06
Mario Elie	55	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.77	40	-5	45	14.7	14.9	-0.25	13.8	11.2	2.54
Avery Johnson	46	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.76	38	-3	41	15.0	14.6	0.33	14.0	11.4	2.63
Jaren Jackson	39	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.61	32	3	29	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.8	11.2	3.58
Terry Porter	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	27	-19	13.1	15.4	-2.28	12.2	12.6	-0.33
Antonio Daniels	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	38	-41	14.6	15.0	-0.33	11.4	14.0	-2.63
Malik Rose	62	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	41	-47	16.2	12.8	3.41	10.9	14.8	-3.90
Jerome Kersey	17	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	29	-23	12.0	15.3	-3.33	12.3	12.5	-0.27
Samaki Walker	41	43	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	39	-43	16.4	13.8	2.57	11.0	13.5	-2.53
Steve Kerr	38	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	40	-45	16.3	14.0	2.29	10.5	13.7	-3.18
Chucky Brown	34	37	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	46	-57	16.4	14.0	2.34	10.8	13.4	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 113, ORL 149	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.9%
ATL 112, MIL 144	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
CLE 70, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%