NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	3.9 [1015]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +8.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1149]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -12.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Anstey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	43%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	19	72%	0.15	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	112%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	82%	0.12	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
A.J. Bramlett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	18	72%	-0.03
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.5	26.6	15.4	24.4	1.7	29.0	127.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.9%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +12.5%

CHI -2.5%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	13.2	15.2	94.9	110.3	101.7
season	16.5	14.1		91.8	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	18.3	15.7	15.0	16.3
CLE	11.4	12.2	13.1	16.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kornel David	30	29	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-22	30	15.1	16.8	-1.77	15.7	12.2	3.46
Will Perdue	51	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	16.4	16.1	0.28	14.8	11.4	3.32
B.J. Armstrong	23	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-17	20	16.5	16.2	0.24	12.2	13.6	-1.36
Hersey Hawkins	10	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	15.0	16.4	-1.44	6.2	13.9	-7.60
Dedric Willoughby	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-17	20	16.9	15.7	1.21	13.6	12.8	0.89
Chris Anstey	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-7	0	15.1	17.1	-2.02	12.2	14.0	-1.83
Corey Benjamin	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-9	4	16.3	16.3	0.02	15.2	12.3	2.93
Michael Ruffin	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	18.0	14.8	3.17	13.6	12.9	0.64
Metta World Peace	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	16.6	15.3	1.32	12.9	14.4	-1.47
Randy Brown	79	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.14	-24	10	-34	16.0	17.4	-1.40	13.2	13.3	-0.16
Dickey Simpkins	50	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	11	-36	15.9	16.7	-0.89	11.1	15.2	-4.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	84	85	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.11	28	-14	42	13.0	14.4	-1.34	16.3	16.5	-0.28
Andrew DeClercq	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.08	24	-10	34	11.7	17.3	-5.58	15.8	17.5	-1.69
Shawn Kemp	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	-8	30	12.2	15.4	-3.22	15.5	18.1	-2.59
Bob Sura	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	3	8	12.4	17.2	-4.86	15.6	19.4	-3.77
Brevin Knight	54	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	11.5	15.4	-3.85	15.6	17.2	-1.59
Andre Miller	43	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	11	-8	15.4	11.5	3.85	17.2	15.6	1.59
A.J. Bramlett	16	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	14	-14	17.0	12.5	4.52	15.5	16.4	-0.98
Danny Ferry	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	21	-28	15.4	12.3	3.07	18.4	15.4	3.01
Cedric Henderson	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	25	-36	16.0	12.0	4.01	18.2	15.5	2.70
Mark Bryant	12	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	25	-36	17.5	12.6	4.88	19.2	15.8	3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 78, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAS 87, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%