NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	2.3 [1216]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +9.3%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.3 [1027]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -12.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	8	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	33%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.19	0.00	-0.14	20	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	0.07	21	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	14	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.23	0.00	0.17	9	125%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	18	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	26.6	16.4	21.5	2.4	26.6	119.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.3%

DAL -3.3%

NYK +11.4%

NYK +4.7%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.2	86.3	111.5	101.7
season	14.8	16.1		104.2	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.8		98.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	14.6	14.5	16.3	14.8
NYK	18.0	13.1	14.3	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-28	31	16.2	14.6	1.53	16.8	15.1	1.67
Rick Hughes	37	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-20	15	15.5	14.4	1.03	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Erick Strickland	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-22	19	13.9	15.0	-1.08	17.2	14.9	2.32
Sean Rooks	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.02	-4	-21	17	15.7	14.2	1.55	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Hubert Davis	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-8	-9	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.6	17.9	-3.24
Shawn Bradley	55	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-6	-13	14.4	15.5	-1.11	15.8	14.6	1.27
Steve Nash	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-5	-15	13.4	15.6	-2.22	16.0	14.9	1.09
Cedric Ceballos	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-9	-7	15.4	13.7	1.63	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Dirk Nowitzki	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-11	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.29	15.5	14.9	0.66
Michael Finley	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.42	-30	5	-35	14.8	15.0	-0.28	15.0	16.3	-1.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.42	29	-4	33	15.2	15.6	-0.38	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Allan Houston	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.43	28	-3	31	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.0	15.9	-1.89
Kurt Thomas	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.29	23	2	21	15.8	14.8	0.98	13.7	16.1	-2.35
Charlie Ward	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.44	27	-2	29	15.2	15.6	-0.43	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Marcus Camby	21	22	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	12	1	14.8	15.5	-0.72	16.0	14.5	1.46
Andrew Lang	44	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	10	5	15.6	15.1	0.49	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Chris Childs	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	25	-25	14.8	15.8	-0.98	15.6	14.1	1.52
Rick Brunson	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	27	-29	15.6	15.2	0.48	16.7	13.9	2.79
Chris Dudley	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	28	-31	15.3	15.3	-0.00	15.7	14.4	1.26
Mirsad Turkcan	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	16.4	15.1	1.26	15.9	14.6	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ATL 85, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CLE 94, POR 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%