inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 84 Excitement6.4 [532] MVPBobby Jackson (MIN): +14.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 89 Comeback1.1 [883] LVPRasho Nesterovic (MIN): -20.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.040.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek-0.000,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.011352%0.011-0.023100%0.02
Howard Eisley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.02-0.01737%0.021-0.042100%0.02
Bryon Russell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00954%0.001-0.03667%-0.02
Jacque Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Pete Chilcutt-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.001100%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Quincy Lewis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01533%-0.052-0.0420%-0.04
John Stockton-0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12-0.10-0.05-0.031546%-0.023-0.1011100%0.07
Karl Malone-0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16-0.09-0.060.001649%-0.014-0.147100%0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.050.005100%0.1500.001100%0.01
Anthony Peeler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.060.060.010.03-0.021150%0.0600.004100%0.02
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.04-0.02337%0.0300.00250%0.04
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00450%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Terrell Brandon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01-0.01-0.070.03-0.031242%0.063-0.0600%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.011860%0.084-0.101275%0.01
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00440%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.000.00250%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.090.00921%-0.161-0.0310%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.18-0.04-0.021033%-0.105-0.10450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game18.62.627.215.529.21.639.6134.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +24.7%
UTA -4.9%
MIN +15.1%
MIN +12.1%
MIN +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMINNBAUTAMINNBA
this game16.314.815.291.395.7101.7
season16.315.1104.5103.5
opponent15.715.2101.1100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.918.818.013.116.3
MIN12.815.712.818.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn1516-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-5519.715.74.0614.914.80.08
Bryon Russell6466-0.09-0.410.32-0.359-142316.615.61.0015.712.72.96
Greg Ostertag4345-0.15-0.350.20-0.326-111715.716.9-1.1617.012.84.21
Karl Malone7679-0.15-0.350.19-0.336-111715.719.3-3.6014.914.50.36
Howard Eisley4040-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-3118.814.44.4514.415.1-0.63
Quincy Lewis66-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-61-714.016.5-2.5011.215.1-3.89
John Stockton6061-0.24-0.260.03-0.302-7914.819.1-4.2715.813.02.75
Scott Padgett2524-0.24-0.260.020.05-105-1515.816.5-0.6813.815.1-1.31
Pete Chilcutt1614-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-116-1719.315.73.6014.514.9-0.36
Olden Polynice4948-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-116-1716.915.71.1612.817.0-4.21
Jeff Hornacek6666-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-83-1115.518.5-2.9614.016.9-2.93

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrell Brandon59580.65-0.150.800.1816-112714.814.80.0715.817.2-1.33
Kevin Garnett78770.58-0.080.670.2312-71914.715.3-0.5516.217.2-1.03
Anthony Peeler59590.380.120.260.206-1714.615.2-0.6315.018.8-3.82
Wally Szczerbiak55570.310.190.110.2232116.811.94.9715.118.3-3.19
Rasho Nesterovic56550.280.220.050.36-38-1115.513.81.7416.615.90.70
Dean Garrett37370.220.28-0.05-0.018-31113.815.5-1.7415.916.6-0.70
Sam Mitchell38350.190.31-0.110.1323-111.916.8-4.9718.315.13.19
Malik Sealy34330.120.38-0.260.15-16-715.214.60.6318.815.03.82
Joe Smith1515-0.080.58-0.670.12-712-1915.314.70.5517.216.21.03
Bobby Jackson3434-0.150.65-0.800.17-1116-2714.814.8-0.0717.215.81.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 72, LAC 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.9,0.99,1,1,193.7%
MIA 88, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,193.3%
CLE 104, SAC 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.2%