inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Excitement7.6 [311] MVPSam Cassell (MIL): +17.4%
Houston Rockets 93 Comeback3.5 [181] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -32.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Cassell0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.170.130.070.022074%0.284-0.11771%0.00
Tim Thomas0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.07-0.00861%0.131-0.032100%0.02
Ray Allen0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.021459%0.091-0.01475%-0.00
Danny Manning0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00753%0.0800.0010%-0.01
Dale Ellis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.000.04-0.02642%0.0500.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.R. Reid-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00342%-0.0500.00683%0.01
Haywoode Workman-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00125%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00117%-0.0800.00425%-0.05
Glenn Robinson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1-0.05-0.050.001541%-0.071-0.032100%0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Barkley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.08-0.01672%0.141-0.01650%-0.03
Walt Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.03-0.03859%0.104-0.081100%0.00
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00167%0.0100.004100%0.02
Kenny Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00744%0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00764%0.073-0.1000%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001446%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.060.00950%0.003-0.14667%-0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.090.021050%-0.052-0.09250%-0.02
Steve Francis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.27,-0.32-0.32-0.10-0.210.011341%-0.262-0.07862%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.91.732.216.425.61.735.2138.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +19.7%
MIL +11.9%
HOU -17.9%
MIL +34.8%
MIL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILHOUNBAMILHOUNBA
this game15.016.815.2110.1101.1101.7
season14.915.4105.5102.4
opponent14.615.4103.5105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.715.414.417.115.0
HOU15.615.916.219.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen53570.75-0.250.990.1620-153514.615.7-1.1417.914.83.15
Glenn Robinson64640.58-0.080.670.2312-71915.214.60.6716.617.0-0.41
Sam Cassell70740.480.020.450.248-31115.015.3-0.2816.119.5-3.42
Danny Manning39380.390.110.280.3905-515.814.51.2919.115.14.01
Ervin Johnson28310.170.33-0.160.1414-314.815.2-0.3814.517.9-3.47
Dale Ellis31330.160.34-0.180.22-27-915.314.90.3817.516.31.24
Robert Traylor29290.120.38-0.27-0.066-1713.815.6-1.8116.816.70.06
J.R. Reid46480.110.39-0.29-0.0141315.015.1-0.0516.916.60.26
Vinny Del Negro38380.070.43-0.350.28-712-1916.314.12.1716.417.0-0.56
Tim Thomas3437-0.120.62-0.730.15-914-2314.915.1-0.2614.918.0-3.02
Haywoode Workman1311-0.210.71-0.910.03-813-2113.715.3-1.5818.316.51.73

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Rogers870.14-0.640.79-0.036-111710.017.4-7.3916.914.91.97
Tony Massenburg450.13-0.630.76-0.056-111717.716.71.0514.215.1-0.90
Bryce Drew3131-0.01-0.490.48-0.227-121917.916.21.6915.514.80.77
Kelvin Cato4643-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-101516.217.3-1.1515.814.31.44
Kenny Thomas11-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-311.016.9-15.9223.015.08.05
Cuttino Mobley7269-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.456-111716.318.2-1.9215.712.92.70
Hakeem Olajuwon6865-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.23-50-516.018.8-2.7614.716.0-1.31
Walt Williams3940-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-138-2117.516.21.2813.816.1-2.26
Steve Francis7370-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-72-916.617.3-0.7115.015.3-0.28
Shandon Anderson5350-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.08-149-2317.315.91.3914.715.5-0.74
Charles Barkley6564-0.700.20-0.89-0.29-149-2318.113.54.5714.815.6-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 121, NOP 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.16,0.01,092.0%
NJN 96, BOS 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.09,0.09,091.7%
DET 90, MEM 800.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.02,0.02,091.7%