NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	4.6 [552]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +10.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.0 [371]		LVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): -11.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	19	66%	0.12	8	-0.17	6	83%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	13	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Jeff Hornacek	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	11	58%	0.11	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	20	60%	0.17	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	12	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	11	27%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	62.1	2.4	31.2	16.8	28.2	2.4	42.5	185.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.0%

UTA -6.8%

UTA -2.6%

SEA +13.6%

SEA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	17.5	16.0	15.8	98.8	104.7	99.6
season	16.4	15.4		102.6	102.4
opponent	15.9	16.0		103.5	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.9	18.3	17.4	14.1	17.5
SEA	14.4	18.6	16.0	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thurl Bailey	14	13	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-14	23	14.8	18.0	-3.24	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Adam Keefe	27	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.30	14	-19	33	16.4	18.0	-1.54	18.0	15.1	2.99
John Stockton	59	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-17	29	17.2	18.1	-0.84	16.8	14.0	2.86
Shandon Anderson	58	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-16	27	15.3	22.0	-6.67	16.1	15.8	0.25
Greg Foster	14	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	9	-23	21.3	16.8	4.52	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Howard Eisley	27	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	12	-29	18.1	17.2	0.84	14.0	16.8	-2.86
Greg Ostertag	31	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	16	-37	21.4	15.3	6.13	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Jeff Hornacek	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	6	-17	18.0	16.6	1.34	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Karl Malone	70	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	17.5	17.6	-0.08	16.4	13.7	2.70
Bryon Russell	75	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	1	-7	17.4	18.2	-0.78	15.8	16.9	-1.08

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-8	21	15.7	18.2	-2.49	17.3	19.6	-2.34
Detlef Schrempf	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	16.3	14.8	1.53	17.2	18.8	-1.62
Gary Payton	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	15.8	17.7	-1.94	17.6	16.7	0.91
Olden Polynice	59	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	16.8	14.1	2.74	17.0	18.4	-1.43
Dale Ellis	51	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	10	-15	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.8	20.0	-4.18
Vladimir Stepania	5	6	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	0	5	15.0	16.0	-1.05	24.0	17.0	6.99
Jelani McCoy	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	10	-15	16.3	15.9	0.49	21.8	15.8	6.01
Don MacLean	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	10	-15	15.4	17.4	-1.99	17.7	17.1	0.61
John Crotty	8	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	17.7	15.8	1.94	16.7	17.6	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 100, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 80, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.6%