inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 89 Excitement5.0 [498] MVPTyrone Corbin (ATL): +10.2%
Washington Wizards 78 Comeback1.6 [503] LVPBen Wallace (WAS): -19.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.03-0.021356%0.1000.001100%0.00
Chris Crawford0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.01657%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Mark West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00250%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Steven Smith-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.130.02-0.091943%0.054-0.07887%0.03
Ed Gray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Grant Long-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011150%-0.031-0.03862%-0.04
Mookie Blaylock-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011745%-0.032-0.034100%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.010.00550%-0.072-0.041258%-0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.00475%-0.00
John Coker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00942%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
Tim Legler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.031030%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Randell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001145%-0.052-0.0100%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001651%0.033-0.095100%0.03
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.030.001436%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.09-0.060.04763%-0.016-0.18540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.727.514.824.31.731.2123.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +28.6%
ATL +3.2%
WAS -3.6%
ATL +20.7%
ATL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLWASNBAATLWASNBA
this game15.716.715.898.988.699.6
season16.715.597.298.8
opponent15.916.3101.394.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.514.516.117.715.7
WAS16.118.215.217.416.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Corbin62610.68-0.170.850.1219-82715.017.2-2.2317.215.51.75
Steven Smith81790.54-0.040.580.1613-21515.913.42.4816.617.2-0.59
Dikembe Mutombo80770.52-0.020.530.1712-11315.616.4-0.8116.518.4-1.91
Mookie Blaylock76730.450.050.400.1892715.914.61.3116.517.9-1.41
Grant Long78770.330.170.170.1956-116.113.03.0916.518.0-1.49
Anthony Johnson14150.050.45-0.40-0.0129-714.615.9-1.3117.916.51.41
Chris Crawford3837-0.010.51-0.520.08-314-1716.315.21.0616.117.1-1.06
Mark West1212-0.020.52-0.54-0.02011-1115.215.7-0.4918.616.42.19
Ed Gray99-0.040.54-0.580.02-213-1513.415.9-2.4817.216.60.59

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jahidi White25270.01-0.510.52-0.145-162117.116.50.6016.915.21.68
Calbert Cheaney6564-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-192716.916.20.6416.513.72.85
Randell Jackson56-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-9717.216.70.5416.715.61.06
Ben Wallace6768-0.17-0.330.15-0.263-141717.115.31.8516.313.82.52
Tim Legler1918-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-1-918.516.22.3415.315.8-0.50
Jeff McInnis1919-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-2-716.516.7-0.2115.515.7-0.19
Rod Strickland6971-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.24-2-9716.716.50.2115.715.50.19
Otis Thorpe5354-0.31-0.19-0.130.01-110-1115.418.6-3.1715.216.4-1.14
Tracy Murray1416-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-132-1515.117.0-1.8413.616.1-2.50
Mitch Richmond7376-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.26-5-6116.318.5-2.1415.417.0-1.57
John Coker3131-0.520.02-0.550.03-198-2717.516.21.3214.116.5-2.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 98, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
IND 93, TOR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
NYK 99, HOU 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%