NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	3.8 [636]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +5.9%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	1.2 [698]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): -9.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	4	91%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	16	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	72%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	12	61%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	10	83%	0.05	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	21	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	27.2	14.7	24.2	2.4	25.2	116.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.1%

DEN -1.0%

POR +3.9%

POR +6.6%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.8	122.2	110.9	99.6
season	16.0	15.5		102.0	100.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		107.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.1	12.5	13.8	19.0	15.8
DEN	14.6	16.1	18.1	14.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	50	52	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.18	26	-18	44	14.5	17.4	-2.88	16.1	15.6	0.48
Stacey Augmon	49	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-12	32	14.8	17.0	-2.29	17.6	13.9	3.76
Jim Jackson	65	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-4	16	16.7	13.5	3.21	15.9	15.6	0.34
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.43	-6	14	-20	16.0	15.2	0.78	16.4	14.5	1.93
Brian Grant	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.51	-10	18	-28	15.6	16.3	-0.66	16.2	15.1	1.01
Isaiah Rider	47	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	11	-14	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.3	17.6	-3.34
Greg Anthony	44	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	7	-6	15.3	16.2	-0.90	14.7	17.0	-2.26
Kelvin Cato	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	8	-8	17.6	15.2	2.43	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Arvydas Sabonis	31	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	8	-8	16.8	15.3	1.49	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Jermaine O'Neal	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	16.2	15.7	0.50	15.9	15.8	0.09

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	45	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.34	11	-19	30	14.9	16.7	-1.83	17.0	14.7	2.35
Carl Herrera	22	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-8	8	16.0	15.8	0.26	12.0	16.9	-4.82
Johnny Taylor	27	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	14.1	16.6	-2.41	15.7	15.8	-0.17
Nick Van Exel	60	58	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	16.5	14.7	1.83	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Bryant Stith	57	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	16.9	14.2	2.71	15.3	16.6	-1.36
Danny Fortson	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	15.8	16.0	-0.23	17.3	12.6	4.69
Eric Washington	41	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	14.5	16.9	-2.41	16.0	15.6	0.35
Antonio McDyess	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	16.7	10.8	5.82	15.2	19.8	-4.65
Chauncey Billups	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.6	16.6	-1.05	16.2	14.3	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 120, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
TOR 120, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%