NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	8.9 [85]		MVP	Bobby Phills (CHH): +11.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	4.3 [122]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -30.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	68%	0.21	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Chuck Person	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Charles Shackleford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.17	3	-0.20	8	75%	-0.02
Eldridge Recasner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.01	-0.13	0.02	14	54%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	15	37%	-0.19	1	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	9	70%	0.04	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	6	17%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	9	43%	-0.14	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.28	-0.28	-0.02	-0.26	-0.00	9	50%	-0.25	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.27	0.00	18	52%	-0.20	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	25.7	16.3	23.5	2.5	36.5	127.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +81.4%

IND -5.4%

IND -13.1%

IND -14.3%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.8	96.8	95.7	99.6
season	15.7	16.4		99.2	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.5		101.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.4	14.0	15.2	17.1	15.1
IND	16.3	14.2	13.6	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	74	74	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.47	11	-9	20	15.1	15.1	0.04	15.7	13.9	1.78
Chucky Brown	69	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.52	9	-7	16	15.1	15.2	-0.04	15.6	14.8	0.80
Eddie Jones	74	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.50	9	-7	16	14.8	16.3	-1.55	15.7	13.9	1.76
Elden Campbell	74	73	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	15.4	14.1	1.26	15.5	14.8	0.70
Bobby Phills	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	15.5	14.0	1.43	15.4	15.2	0.23
Ricky Davis	18	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	16.6	14.8	1.76	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Charles Shackleford	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	6	-10	14.1	15.4	-1.26	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Brad Miller	24	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	9	-16	14.8	15.2	-0.39	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Chuck Person	24	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	9	-16	14.5	15.4	-0.89	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Eldridge Recasner	25	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	11	-20	15.0	15.2	-0.12	14.3	15.7	-1.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	32	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-8	14	15.4	15.3	0.08	14.5	15.4	-0.95
Dale Davis	44	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-3	4	15.0	15.6	-0.62	15.2	15.0	0.18
Travis Best	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	16.0	14.8	1.24	16.1	14.3	1.80
Chris Mullin	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	2	-6	14.9	16.0	-1.05	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Jalen Rose	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-2	2	14.1	16.7	-2.55	14.3	16.0	-1.65
Mark Jackson	68	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	15.8	14.2	1.60	15.5	14.0	1.47
Reggie Miller	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	15.7	14.5	1.21	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Rik Smits	64	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	2	-6	15.1	15.9	-0.76	15.3	14.7	0.63
Antonio Davis	48	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	5	-12	15.9	14.7	1.20	15.2	15.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.41,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.86,0.73,0	91.1%
CLE 79, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.84,0	90.6%
NOH 99, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.58,0	90.4%