NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	83		Excitement	7.9 [149]		MVP	Grant Long (ATL): +27.2%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	2.8 [311]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -32.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	8	87%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Elden Campbell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18	-0.20	-0.01	-0.02	19	33%	-0.12	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.03
Derrick Coleman	-0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.18,-0.32	-0.10	-0.21	0.02	12	50%	-0.06	5	-0.26	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.27	0.27	-0.01	0.28	0.00	5	62%	0.31	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	10	75%	0.23	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.18,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.05	-0.00	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Jeff Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.18	-0.00	5	28%	-0.27	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	27.3	15.8	25.4	1.7	33.3	126.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.6%

CHH -23.6%

ATL +1.6%

ATL +29.5%

ATL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.8	88.3	91.4	99.6
season	15.7	16.7		99.2	97.2
opponent	16.3	15.5		94.9	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.6	16.3	15.4	14.9	15.5
ATL	15.0	15.7	15.9	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	58	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-5	8	16.0	14.8	1.24	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Chucky Brown	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-8	14	15.8	14.7	1.08	14.9	16.8	-1.99
Eddie Jones	76	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-8	14	15.7	14.8	0.88	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Derrick Coleman	66	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-8	14	15.5	15.6	-0.04	15.3	15.1	0.19
Ricky Davis	18	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	6	-14	14.8	15.7	-0.88	16.3	15.0	1.33
Brad Miller	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	7	-16	15.5	15.5	-0.01	15.7	15.0	0.69
Chuck Person	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	6	-14	14.7	15.8	-1.08	16.8	14.9	1.99
Eldridge Recasner	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	3	-8	14.8	16.0	-1.24	15.9	14.8	1.12
Elden Campbell	83	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.6	15.5	0.10	15.0	16.8	-1.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	50	49	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.51	8	-6	14	14.4	16.3	-1.94	15.3	15.8	-0.41
Tyrone Corbin	65	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-3	8	14.8	16.4	-1.57	15.6	15.5	0.04
Roshown McLeod	37	37	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-11	24	14.8	15.6	-0.74	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Dikembe Mutombo	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	2	-2	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.3	17.2	-1.86
Anthony Johnson	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	-2	6	16.2	14.6	1.68	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Alan Henderson	58	59	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	8	-14	15.8	14.4	1.38	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	61	62	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	9	-16	15.1	15.6	-0.46	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Mark West	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	15.9	15.2	0.72	17.2	15.3	1.86
Chris Crawford	31	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	15.5	15.1	0.39	16.0	15.3	0.76
Jeff Sheppard	31	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	10	-18	16.1	14.8	1.26	15.8	15.4	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.72,1	92.9%
MIA 65, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	92.1%
LAC 91, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.69,0.58,1	92.0%