inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 112 Excitement3.6 [660] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +12.5%
Denver Nuggets 100 Comeback1.5 [507] LVPCory Alexander (DEN): -7.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.00-0.031167%0.1300.00250%-0.00
Mitch Richmond0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.000.041571%0.101-0.0311100%0.02
Otis Thorpe0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.010.041269%0.0700.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.011567%0.082-0.021070%-0.03
Ben Wallace0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00475%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Terry Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Tim Legler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041347%0.042-0.05475%0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.020.021668%0.133-0.05250%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.010.032171%0.134-0.071385%0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01582%0.062-0.04786%0.01
Johnny Taylor0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01625%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01440%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.01536%-0.0800.00475%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.327.515.427.51.833.0129.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +23.2%
WAS +5.7%
WAS +2.1%
WAS +18.8%
WAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game16.115.615.8123.1109.999.6
season15.515.598.8100.7
opponent15.615.9107.6101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.114.317.417.516.1
DEN16.217.013.915.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitch Richmond71700.490.010.480.0515-31816.514.42.1416.213.52.68
Otis Thorpe64650.440.060.390.15102816.415.31.0916.114.31.73
Juwan Howard59600.400.100.31-0.0415-31815.018.0-3.0316.613.62.94
Ben Wallace57550.320.180.14-0.0613-11415.417.2-1.8715.316.1-0.83
Tracy Murray49490.240.26-0.010.19210-815.816.4-0.6315.116.1-1.00
Chris Whitney14110.210.29-0.090.0075214.116.4-2.2715.415.6-0.25
Rod Strickland57600.190.31-0.120.16111-1017.314.03.3516.613.62.94
Calbert Cheaney39390.140.36-0.23-0.0157-215.616.4-0.8313.717.0-3.35
Jeff McInnis20200.100.40-0.29-0.0148-413.816.7-2.8412.716.4-3.69
Terry Davis18180.000.50-0.500.12-416-2019.415.24.2116.115.50.66
Tim Legler78-0.040.54-0.580.19-820-2819.015.83.1811.915.9-4.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Washington2120-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-7215.615.6-0.0116.915.81.13
Eric Williams2119-0.06-0.440.39-0.081-131413.516.2-2.7414.016.6-2.61
Cory Alexander2728-0.14-0.360.21-0.233-151816.615.21.3816.116.00.11
Carl Herrera1819-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-4-416.715.31.4213.716.7-3.01
Johnny Taylor4547-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-10816.015.20.8716.515.60.88
Bryant Stith4644-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-7-5-215.815.30.4915.216.9-1.67
Danny Fortson4749-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-6015.615.6-0.0615.916.2-0.28
Chauncey Billups5858-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-8414.916.7-1.7517.214.13.10
Keon Clark2122-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-7214.715.9-1.1914.716.5-1.83
Antonio McDyess7978-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-131-1415.715.00.6716.513.43.13
Nick Van Exel7271-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-142-1615.814.71.1416.315.11.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 102, CLE 820.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
PHI 89, BOS 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,095.1%
PHI 102, WAS 820.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.1%