NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	5.6 [418]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +17.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.5 [283]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -17.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	14	71%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	70%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	14	67%	0.11	0	0.00	14	86%	0.03
Chris Childs	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	5	67%	0.08	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.03	10	73%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	52%	0.02	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	0.03	22	59%	0.01	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	38%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	30.6	17.0	24.2	2.4	43.5	143.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.3%

NYK +2.5%

MIL -0.4%

NYK +10.4%

NYK +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.8	118.7	110.9	99.6
season	16.0	15.8		97.0	102.4
opponent	16.4	16.6		100.9	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	15.0	15.3	17.3	15.4
MIL	15.4	17.7	17.4	14.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	76	75	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	15.5	14.9	0.54	16.5	14.4	2.05
Chris Dudley	58	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-2	10	16.5	13.5	3.03	17.2	14.4	2.74
Allan Houston	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	15.4	15.2	0.29	16.3	15.3	0.97
Latrell Sprewell	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	0	6	15.4	15.4	-0.05	16.2	15.8	0.34
Chris Childs	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	6	-6	15.5	15.2	0.32	15.5	17.2	-1.66
Charlie Ward	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	2	2	14.4	16.8	-2.40	15.9	16.4	-0.44
Marcus Camby	30	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	14.6	15.8	-1.12	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Kurt Thomas	41	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.3	16.8	-1.52

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	16	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-7	8	15.6	16.2	-0.56	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Michael Curry	50	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-10	14	15.7	16.6	-0.94	16.6	13.9	2.65
Ervin Johnson	45	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-5	4	17.2	15.1	2.09	15.9	14.9	1.01
Armen Gilliam	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	16.6	15.7	0.86	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Chris Gatling	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	15.9	16.3	-0.40	15.4	15.3	0.08
Robert Traylor	21	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.2	-0.42	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Vinny Del Negro	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-3	0	16.3	15.7	0.52	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Dell Curry	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	15.1	16.8	-1.70	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Glenn Robinson	68	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	16.4	15.2	1.13	15.8	14.1	1.68
Ray Allen	73	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.9	16.8	-0.95	14.9	17.0	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0	94.5%
SAS 113, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.3%
SEA 109, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.1%