NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	6.3 [509]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +23.1%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	4.0 [293]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	86%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.02	19	66%	0.15	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Larry Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	4	58%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
John Starks	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.01	20	71%	0.33	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	8	59%	0.14	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	17	60%	0.09	7	-0.21	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	33.3	14.8	23.3	2.4	33.4	133.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.5%

NYK -10.0%

NJN +15.7%

NJN +14.1%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.6	103.3	105.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		100.4	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.3		103.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	14.5	17.4	16.4	16.1
NJN	16.5	14.3	15.4	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	62	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-8	13	15.4	17.5	-2.10	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Terry Cummings	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-7	11	15.3	16.7	-1.42	15.9	15.0	0.88
Chris Mills	70	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-14	25	15.4	18.3	-2.86	14.9	17.1	-2.25
Allan Houston	80	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	16.0	16.8	-0.83	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Charles Oakley	64	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	1	-5	16.4	15.3	1.13	16.0	13.9	2.05
John Starks	41	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	6	-15	17.0	15.4	1.57	16.6	14.6	2.02
Chris Childs	36	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	4	-11	16.6	15.8	0.77	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Larry Johnson	64	66	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.21	-22	19	-41	16.9	14.1	2.81	15.0	16.3	-1.22

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	74	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	16.0	12.7	3.32	16.5	14.4	2.06
Chris Gatling	42	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	2	-1	14.6	16.1	-1.46	16.1	16.1	0.02
Lucious Harris	25	23	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	3	-3	16.1	15.1	0.95	17.9	15.5	2.38
David Vaughn	10	8	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-2	7	17.4	15.1	2.25	21.6	15.6	6.07
Kendall Gill	48	51	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-7	17	15.3	15.5	-0.16	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Brian Evans	35	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	6	-9	14.6	15.9	-1.23	17.3	15.4	1.95
Michael Cage	55	54	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	-4	11	15.6	15.0	0.61	16.2	15.9	0.24
Kerry Kittles	77	78	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	8	-13	14.9	17.9	-2.96	15.4	20.5	-5.10
Keith Van Horn	72	73	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	15.8	13.8	2.03	15.4	18.7	-3.28
Sherman Douglas	22	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	16	-29	14.0	15.8	-1.77	14.9	16.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	92.6%
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
UTA 78, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	92.2%