inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement12.4 [11] MVPDee Brown (TOR): +29.2%
Toronto Raptors 104 Comeback9.2 [194] LVPJohnny Newman (DEN): -61.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.120.070.070.031070%0.131-0.023100%0.03
Joe Wolf0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0-0.060.06-0.01852%0.113-0.115100%0.08
Bobby Jackson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00954%0.021-0.02650%-0.04
Bryant Stith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00629%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Cory Alexander-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1-0.01-0.070.011250%0.122-0.2100%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.03-0.02633%-0.013-0.0900%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.230,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.10-0.14-0.011744%-0.183-0.05560%-0.05
Johnny Newman-0.610,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.41,-0.610.02-0.640.001665%-0.154-0.47560%-0.20

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.170.120.001392%0.403-0.1000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.190.19-0.020.21-0.001745%0.1900.006100%0.12
Sharone Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00150%-0.0300.00475%-0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24-0.24-0.04-0.21-0.011052%-0.202-0.04560%-0.04
Reggie Slater0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.04-0.220.001343%-0.111-0.152100%0.01
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.08-0.24-0.001753%0.026-0.344100%0.08
John Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55-0.55-0.15-0.400.00945%-0.266-0.29450%-0.15
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.31.725.115.823.52.042.11.820.3153.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -19.7%
TOR +9.6%
TOR +22.6%
TOR +25.4%
TOR +12.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game16.214.715.699.0102.0102.5
season16.215.596.798.7
opponent14.815.2108.2109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.215.517.116.619.416.2
TOR15.816.516.311.512.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith990.07-0.570.630.041-2316.616.10.4216.714.52.17
Tony Battie21210.04-0.540.570.011-2315.816.3-0.5216.214.31.89
Joe Wolf880.02-0.520.53-0.011-2316.616.10.4916.214.61.70
Danny Fortson4042-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-21-317.715.22.5215.913.82.03
Bobby Jackson4642-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-98-1716.216.10.0815.114.40.78
Cory Alexander7676-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-4716.515.21.3114.415.4-0.94
LaPhonso Ellis7877-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.555-61115.618.0-2.3814.614.9-0.31
Anthony Goldwire7777-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.573-4715.817.4-1.6214.415.4-1.00
Dean Garrett9086-0.520.02-0.53-0.46-21-316.017.1-1.0414.117.7-3.56
Johnny Newman7572-0.550.05-0.60-0.37-65-1116.216.10.1014.116.0-1.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wallace68680.77-0.271.040.4810-91914.016.0-1.9316.914.82.13
Dee Brown71710.75-0.251.010.4610-91914.415.4-1.0116.715.01.67
Chauncey Billups81830.58-0.080.650.5510114.216.4-2.1916.116.4-0.32
Doug Christie93960.50-0.000.500.5001-114.417.4-3.0316.117.2-1.17
Marcus Camby80810.360.140.220.302-1314.415.8-1.4416.315.60.78
Reggie Slater52550.080.42-0.330.11-12-315.613.81.7815.317.2-1.87
Sharone Wright1112-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-12-316.714.42.2917.116.11.03
Tracy McGrady1313-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-12-315.514.60.9816.916.10.86
John Thomas1515-0.200.70-0.90-0.02-67-1316.914.32.5614.916.4-1.53
Oliver Miller2626-0.220.72-0.940.04-910-1916.214.22.0714.616.7-2.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.31,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.36,0.57,0.59,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 96, LAC 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.91,188.8%
IND 87, SAS 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.13,188.1%
LAC 114, LAL 1180.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.72,0.5,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.73,187.8%