NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	3.5 [1052]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +11.4%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.3 [1106]		LVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): -16.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
A.C. Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	17	65%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Bubba Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	7	12%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	13	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	16	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	82%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	11	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	10	57%	0.08	5	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	-0.11	12	38%	-0.01	4	-0.05	10	70%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	21.3	16.6	23.2	1.8	30.2	118.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.1%

HOU +3.2%

HOU +20.4%

DAL -1.4%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	15.6	100.0	104.3	102.5
season	15.8	15.7		98.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	14.8	15.5	12.3	14.5
HOU	15.8	15.8	17.2	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	14.3	14.6	-0.30	14.8	17.4	-2.62
Bubba Wells	13	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.39	11	-17	28	12.6	14.8	-2.23	21.1	15.9	5.14
Eric Riley	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	15.4	14.0	1.43	16.5	16.9	-0.49
Khalid Reeves	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-6	6	14.9	14.2	0.66	17.7	16.0	1.71
Martin Muursepp	35	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-10	14	13.0	15.5	-2.53	16.6	16.9	-0.26
Cedric Ceballos	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	14.9	13.0	1.88	17.0	15.9	1.07
Hubert Davis	45	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	13.5	15.6	-2.10	16.8	16.7	0.16
Michael Finley	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	4	-14	15.0	13.0	2.01	16.4	17.7	-1.31
A.C. Green	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	8	-22	15.3	12.9	2.36	16.3	17.7	-1.45
Chris Anstey	55	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	5	-16	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.6	17.0	-0.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	68	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	17.5	14.8	2.62	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Brent Price	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	16.9	16.5	0.46	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Eddie Johnson	59	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	4	-2	17.4	15.7	1.70	14.0	15.4	-1.46
Clyde Drexler	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	16.9	16.1	0.81	15.1	12.6	2.41
Hakeem Olajuwon	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	16.6	17.1	-0.48	14.2	15.2	-1.07
Kevin Willis	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	1	4	16.1	17.8	-1.73	15.2	13.3	1.87
Rodrick Rhodes	22	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	3	0	16.1	16.9	-0.81	12.6	15.1	-2.41
Matt Bullard	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	2	2	15.7	17.4	-1.70	15.4	14.0	1.46
Matt Maloney	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	4	-2	16.5	16.9	-0.46	15.6	13.9	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 101, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAL 95, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%