NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Excitement	10.0 [53]		MVP	Pete Chilcutt (VAN): +46.8%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	2.4 [518]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -35.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.14	0.36	0.03	11	77%	0.47	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	9	68%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	8	56%	0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	17	45%	-0.16	1	-0.02	15	67%	-0.07
Bryant Reeves	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.08	-0.01	13	26%	-0.24	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.11
Blue Edwards	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	18	32%	-0.18	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.09	0.04	12	73%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	0.00	13	64%	0.19	5	-0.13	16	81%	0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.02	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.04
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	17	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Gary Trent	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	2.7	24.6	18.4	31.6	2.4	40.4	1.5	20.2	167.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +11.3%

TOR +26.7%

VAN -5.4%

TOR +10.1%

TOR +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	TOR	NBA	VAN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.6	104.0	107.6	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		101.3	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		108.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
VAN	15.6	13.2	17.3	15.3	15.8	15.3
TOR	15.0	16.2	17.0	15.3	12.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	53	55	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.30	15	-23	38	16.3	14.3	2.05	16.7	14.2	2.57
Antonio Daniels	48	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.44	-17	9	-26	14.0	16.6	-2.57	13.7	17.3	-3.57
Michael Smith	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.18	-12	4	-16	16.8	14.4	2.37	15.4	15.6	-0.24
George Lynch	36	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-10	12	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.8	14.8	2.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	3	-14	16.2	13.7	2.52	14.8	16.8	-2.07
Blue Edwards	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	15.8	14.0	1.79	16.1	14.1	1.95
Bobby Hurley	30	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	7	-22	13.9	16.0	-2.06	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Pete Chilcutt	61	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.53	5	-13	18	14.4	16.8	-2.37	15.6	15.4	0.24
Tony Massenburg	29	30	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	1	-10	13.9	15.9	-2.03	15.7	15.5	0.20
Bryant Reeves	69	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.56	1	-9	10	16.3	13.4	2.89	16.0	14.4	1.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	69	70	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-3	14	15.8	14.9	0.92	16.0	13.9	2.08
Gary Trent	58	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	3	2	16.9	13.8	3.07	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Doug Christie	76	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	2	4	15.2	16.4	-1.28	16.2	13.2	3.00
Marcus Camby	64	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	0	8	15.5	15.6	-0.14	14.3	16.8	-2.42
Reggie Slater	43	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	14.9	16.0	-1.12	14.3	16.0	-1.73
Chauncey Billups	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	16.2	14.1	2.12	16.2	13.4	2.78
Shawn Respert	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	15	-22	23.0	15.0	8.01	10.1	15.7	-5.59
Dee Brown	49	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.37	9	-1	10	13.3	17.5	-4.16	14.0	16.5	-2.47
Oliver Miller	42	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	15	-22	16.8	14.7	2.06	17.4	13.9	3.48
Tracy McGrady	35	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.28	-1	9	-10	13.9	16.4	-2.50	13.7	16.1	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.9,0.67,0.84,0.54,0.8,0.94,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 137, LAC 143	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.83,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.9,1,1	89.9%
IND 100, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.85,0.84,1	88.3%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	87.6%