NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	5.0 [777]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +11.2%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.6 [292]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -19.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.00	-0.04	18	57%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	6	64%	0.06	4	-0.05	10	70%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	21	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Scott Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	23	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.02	-0.10	17	64%	0.14	5	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	16	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	12	42%	-0.08	2	-0.01	9	44%	-0.07
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	15	47%	-0.04	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.03	0.02	18	39%	-0.09	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.5	26.4	15.4	24.5	2.4	34.6	125.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.0%

CLE +11.3%

NJN -7.7%

CLE +9.1%

NJN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	15.6	104.8	92.2	102.5
season	15.4	15.6		99.4	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	14.5	13.2	14.0	13.7
NJN	16.2	13.7	13.4	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	88	87	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-4	22	14.2	11.1	3.09	14.4	12.6	1.73
Wesley Person	90	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-3	20	13.9	12.6	1.27	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-1	16	13.9	13.2	0.72	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Brevin Knight	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-2	18	13.6	13.8	-0.21	15.8	12.3	3.47
Shawn Kemp	86	84	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	4	6	14.3	11.1	3.18	14.1	14.0	0.11
Bob Sura	58	57	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	13	-12	13.3	14.2	-0.89	12.8	15.7	-2.91
Danny Ferry	23	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	12	-10	11.4	14.4	-2.96	13.7	14.2	-0.56
Vitaly Potapenko	20	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	18	-22	14.0	13.7	0.32	15.8	13.7	2.10
Scott Brooks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	17.0	13.6	3.36	11.3	14.2	-2.84
Carl Thomas	24	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	21	-28	11.5	14.4	-2.86	12.3	14.6	-2.30

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	17	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-16	18	12.1	14.5	-2.36	12.1	14.0	-1.98
Chris Gatling	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-16	18	14.7	13.9	0.84	14.9	13.3	1.53
Michael Cage	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-8	2	16.7	13.9	2.82	8.1	14.1	-6.00
Lucious Harris	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-1	-12	15.4	13.5	1.89	13.8	13.7	0.09
Jayson Williams	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-8	2	13.9	15.2	-1.31	14.5	10.4	4.06
Kerry Kittles	93	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-9	4	13.8	16.7	-2.89	14.0	11.6	2.37
Sam Cassell	90	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	13.7	16.6	-2.89	13.8	13.4	0.36
Kendall Gill	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	14.4	13.3	1.05	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Keith Van Horn	87	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	6	-26	14.2	13.3	0.92	13.4	15.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 112, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
GSW 134, NOP 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%