NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	5.7 [646]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +7.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.0 [848]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (CHH): -21.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Beck	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	20	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08	0.01	-0.03	0.06	25	51%	-0.06	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	6	7%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	7	61%	0.11	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
William Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	22	46%	-0.02	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.3	1.5	26.3	14.6	24.2	1.8	37.2	139.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.7%

UTA +17.9%

UTA +13.7%

CHH -11.2%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	UTA	NBA	CHH	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.6	96.8	103.2	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.0	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.7	16.1	15.8	15.3	15.7
UTA	14.9	15.9	14.2	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Royal	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-8	10	16.6	15.6	0.92	13.9	15.4	-1.50
B.J. Armstrong	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-5	4	10.2	16.0	-5.72	4.7	15.7	-10.97
J.R. Reid	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-7	8	13.7	17.4	-3.70	13.0	17.1	-4.09
Corey Beck	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-4	2	16.8	15.2	1.56	17.8	14.0	3.72
Travis Williams	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-3	0	18.8	14.8	4.00	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Vernon Maxwell	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-5	4	14.1	17.6	-3.55	13.8	16.8	-2.92
Matt Geiger	58	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-3	0	16.4	14.6	1.84	16.9	12.7	4.18
David Wesley	88	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	15.7	15.8	-0.08	15.3	13.6	1.74
Glen Rice	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.4	17.7	-2.23	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Anthony Mason	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	3	-12	16.5	9.6	6.90	15.8	10.9	4.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	2	2	15.3	14.9	0.39	15.2	19.8	-4.57
Adam Keefe	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	16.5	11.4	5.12	16.0	14.8	1.19
Jeff Hornacek	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	0	6	15.2	15.3	-0.12	14.7	18.3	-3.63
John Stockton	59	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	2	2	16.0	13.9	2.15	15.9	15.4	0.50
Antoine Carr	38	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	2	2	15.9	14.8	1.14	17.3	14.5	2.73
Howard Eisley	38	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	3	0	12.9	16.9	-3.93	14.9	16.3	-1.44
Bryon Russell	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	4	-2	14.0	18.0	-3.99	15.1	17.1	-2.06
Shandon Anderson	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	15.3	15.2	0.12	17.8	14.8	2.95
William Cunningham	19	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	5	-4	15.4	15.2	0.15	17.6	15.3	2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.7%
CHI 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.84,1	94.7%