NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	2.9 [1151]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +10.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.0 [559]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -13.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	7	90%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Brent Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	11	48%	0.00	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	13	47%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	8	29%	-0.03	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.05	21	57%	0.11	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.00	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	1	25%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.3	26.3	16.4	21.5	1.7	28.2	126.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.4%

HOU -3.6%

POR +4.8%

HOU -2.1%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.6	83.5	109.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	15.8	15.2	13.3	14.9
POR	14.6	14.8	15.4	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	46	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-27	30	14.5	15.2	-0.72	15.6	14.4	1.15
Charles Jones	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-24	24	8.5	15.3	-6.80	17.2	14.8	2.34
Matt Bullard	28	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-17	10	12.7	15.8	-3.04	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Othella Harrington	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-20	16	12.8	15.5	-2.72	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Charles Barkley	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.20	3	-27	30	14.6	15.3	-0.64	15.2	14.5	0.70
Eddie Johnson	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-20	16	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.1	14.8	0.36
Clyde Drexler	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-18	12	16.2	12.1	4.11	15.9	13.1	2.81
Hakeem Olajuwon	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.40	-25	1	-26	15.6	13.8	1.79	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Rodrick Rhodes	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.48	-31	7	-38	13.9	15.9	-2.02	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Kevin Willis	48	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	-2	-20	16.1	13.7	2.39	15.4	14.6	0.77
Matt Maloney	51	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.20	-27	3	-30	15.2	14.5	0.72	14.4	15.6	-1.15

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	65	65	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.09	24	0	24	14.9	15.0	-0.09	15.1	14.3	0.79
Arvydas Sabonis	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.31	31	-7	38	14.6	15.8	-1.22	15.8	13.0	2.75
Isaiah Rider	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.27	29	-5	34	14.6	16.2	-1.62	15.1	14.2	0.84
Rick Brunson	84	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	-3	30	14.6	17.7	-3.18	15.1	12.9	2.22
Rasheed Wallace	49	52	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.41	24	0	24	14.0	16.0	-1.98	16.0	13.5	2.51
Brian Grant	16	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	22	-20	14.2	15.1	-0.86	16.2	14.6	1.57
Jermaine O'Neal	45	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.12	5	19	-14	15.0	14.9	0.06	13.6	16.1	-2.48
Vincent Askew	40	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.23	-11	35	-46	16.8	13.6	3.22	14.1	15.4	-1.38
Kelvin Cato	42	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	35	-46	16.6	13.7	2.98	12.4	16.7	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHX 84, LAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 106, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%