NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	3.4 [1067]		MVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): +12.1%
New Jersey Nets	130		Comeback	1.3 [1168]		LVP	Reggie Slater (TOR): -11.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	19	72%	0.10	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Respert	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	17	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	16	52%	-0.01	1	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Chris Garner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	18	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	0.06	16	49%	-0.08	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	12	86%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.05	1	0.00	3	0%	-0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	16	53%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	25.4	14.7	24.0	1.5	25.5	115.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.3%

TOR -1.5%

NJN +14.1%

TOR -2.3%

NJN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	15.6	113.9	127.5	102.5
season	15.5	15.6		98.7	104.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		103.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.7	16.5	15.1	12.0	15.0
NJN	15.3	11.8	12.1	14.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-12	9	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.1	12.6	1.47
John Wallace	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-10	5	14.9	15.4	-0.59	13.8	11.7	2.07
Oliver Miller	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	1	-17	15.7	14.4	1.31	13.5	13.4	0.17
Shawn Respert	86	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-9	3	15.0	14.8	0.19	13.9	10.0	3.92
Tracy McGrady	82	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	14.3	17.9	-3.61	12.5	17.2	-4.76
Doug Christie	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	7	-29	15.5	13.6	1.87	13.4	13.4	0.01
Reggie Slater	88	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	-1	-13	15.3	12.8	2.51	13.0	16.6	-3.66

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	63	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.30	29	-14	43	13.3	13.7	-0.40	16.6	12.0	4.64
Keith Van Horn	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	6	3	14.2	12.3	1.85	15.9	13.6	2.30
Sherman Douglas	68	66	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.13	13.3	18.0	-4.70
Kendall Gill	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	10	-5	15.6	11.8	3.78	16.9	13.5	3.39
Sam Cassell	46	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.12	13	2	11	13.7	13.2	0.46	17.0	13.2	3.81
Kerry Kittles	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	6	3	13.7	13.1	0.66	16.0	13.7	2.36
Lucious Harris	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	13	-11	13.2	13.6	-0.43	13.1	16.5	-3.38
David Benoit	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	10	-5	11.6	15.2	-3.63	13.7	16.2	-2.54
Chris Gatling	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	11	-7	12.5	14.3	-1.73	13.6	16.2	-2.58
Kevin Edwards	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	13.1	13.5	-0.38	10.9	15.5	-4.59
Michael Cage	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	21	-27	14.7	13.2	1.50	12.4	15.3	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 91, UTA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
GSW 81, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%