NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	116		Excitement	6.6 [457]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +19.8%
Vancouver Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.2 [1003]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -14.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.14	0.04	17	65%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	76%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	21	40%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.02	14	63%	0.10	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	91%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	7	107%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	21	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	28.2	14.8	29.4	2.5	35.5	133.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -0.7%

NJN +6.1%

NJN +24.9%

NJN +20.2%

VAN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	VAN	NBA	NJN	VAN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.6	122.1	112.8	102.5
season	15.6	15.1		104.9	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		109.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	18.9	14.8	14.3	15.4
VAN	14.8	14.5	15.2	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.15	17	-7	24	13.6	19.2	-5.55	15.2	14.8	0.42
David Benoit	45	44	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-1	12	16.1	14.8	1.27	15.6	14.6	1.05
Keith Van Horn	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	15.7	15.0	0.66	15.3	14.5	0.78
Michael Cage	30	27	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	14.2	16.0	-1.78	16.1	14.6	1.43
Sam Cassell	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.9	16.4	-1.49	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Sherman Douglas	32	30	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	9	-8	16.4	14.9	1.49	15.5	14.8	0.66
Jayson Williams	64	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	16.2	13.7	2.49	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Lucious Harris	28	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	7	-4	17.5	14.6	2.95	15.9	14.8	1.13
Chris Gatling	33	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	14	-18	16.6	14.8	1.77	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Kendall Gill	55	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	14.7	16.4	-1.73	14.4	16.1	-1.74

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	29	30	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-21	32	14.4	15.3	-0.87	18.2	14.2	4.01
Pete Chilcutt	42	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-15	20	14.8	15.3	-0.53	16.5	14.6	1.88
Blue Edwards	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	14.8	15.2	-0.40	17.3	14.2	3.16
Antonio Daniels	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.5	16.6	-2.12
Lee Mayberry	41	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.0	0.12	16.6	14.5	2.12
Sam Mack	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	15.2	14.8	0.40	14.2	17.3	-3.16
Bryant Reeves	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	2	-14	15.7	13.2	2.52	14.9	16.8	-1.96
Otis Thorpe	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	14.6	16.5	-1.89	15.5	15.2	0.30
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.07	-22	12	-34	15.2	14.5	0.74	14.1	19.3	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.8%
LAL 97, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0	93.6%
CLE 101, CHA 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0	93.6%