inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 82 Excitement3.2 [1113] MVPSteven Smith (ATL): +18.1%
Atlanta Hawks 108 Comeback1.0 [1192] LVPShawn Bradley (DAL): -8.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Riley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.00-0.00560%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Scott0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.021343%0.0000.002100%0.01
Martin Muursepp0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khalid Reeves-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00475%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Bubba Wells-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06542%-0.002-0.00250%0.00
Robert Pack-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05440%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01939%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.010.081862%-0.022-0.00475%-0.01
Hubert Davis-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.06930%-0.042-0.012100%0.01
A.C. Green-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.00420%-0.061-0.0220%-0.03
Shawn Bradley-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.04720%-0.052-0.041100%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.230.010.061588%0.201-0.02367%-0.01
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.01-0.061068%0.124-0.042100%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.011362%0.061-0.01887%0.02
Anthony Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.011100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Greg Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03467%-0.003-0.014100%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00853%0.011-0.011100%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04960%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.05840%-0.023-0.04450%-0.01
Randy Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.0620%-0.024-0.0400%0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01614%-0.0700.002100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.722.216.426.41.725.3116.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +36.3%
ATL +8.8%
ATL +7.4%
DAL -4.4%
ATL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game14.314.115.681.2105.9102.5
season15.816.198.3105.3
opponent16.015.5101.5104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.614.115.612.314.3
ATL12.617.816.410.914.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bubba Wells2626-0.01-0.490.490.17-6-201412.215.0-2.7410.315.4-5.15
Martin Muursepp2424-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-242211.115.2-4.129.915.4-5.54
Robert Pack3940-0.03-0.470.430.17-7-191212.215.6-3.4011.715.7-4.00
Erick Strickland5051-0.08-0.420.340.16-8-181012.516.0-3.5812.915.3-2.37
Khalid Reeves2424-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-201415.713.81.8419.512.47.05
Shawn Bradley4345-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-181014.514.10.3414.214.10.09
Eric Riley4141-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-15414.214.3-0.1614.513.90.59
Samaki Walker5859-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-13014.613.80.7514.114.1-0.01
A.C. Green3738-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-11-15415.613.52.1817.412.25.20
Hubert Davis4444-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-14215.713.12.6314.314.00.33
Michael Finley6766-0.41-0.09-0.330.11-18-8-1015.012.82.2214.513.31.24
Dennis Scott5252-0.550.05-0.590.28-282-3015.712.73.0615.113.12.06

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dikembe Mutombo69680.52-0.020.54-0.222512415.012.22.7615.012.82.15
Steven Smith75750.52-0.020.54-0.192422215.111.33.8715.012.12.90
Tyrone Corbin45450.450.050.40-0.142061414.813.61.1616.412.53.93
Christian Laettner46470.410.090.32-0.172061415.113.31.8215.613.12.41
Eldridge Recasner73720.410.090.32-0.121881014.413.41.0215.112.32.79
Randy Livingston29290.090.41-0.32-0.14818-1013.414.4-1.0212.315.1-2.79
Alan Henderson44420.090.41-0.32-0.00323-2014.913.51.4113.814.6-0.78
Chris Crawford40390.030.47-0.43-0.17719-1211.715.7-4.0012.215.6-3.40
Anthony Miller12120.000.50-0.50-0.09323-207.315.0-7.6810.814.7-3.90
Chucky Brown4443-0.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2413.914.3-0.3512.615.5-2.94
Greg Anderson3333-0.020.52-0.54-0.05125-2412.215.0-2.7612.815.0-2.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 92, SAC 1080.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
GSW 99, PHX 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DAL 70, MEM 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%