NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	8.1 [211]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +18.8%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	7.8 [53]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -28.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	12	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	17	61%	0.13	6	-0.20	4	75%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	17	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.29,-0.28,-0.29	-0.26	-0.07	-0.04	9	35%	-0.11	8	-0.18	8	62%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	-0.00	20	67%	0.33	6	-0.14	12	75%	-0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	21	51%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	10	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	28%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Billy Owens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	25.7	15.0	24.3	2.4	45.6	139.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.9%

PHX -1.3%

SAC +9.4%

SAC +34.0%

PHX -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.6	93.8	97.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.2		105.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	14.6	17.0	14.3	14.7
SAC	16.7	13.7	15.8	13.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	50	52	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-12	18	14.9	14.6	0.31	15.8	13.7	2.15
Steve Nash	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	16.4	13.6	2.87	14.4	15.1	-0.75
George McCloud	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-5	4	9.0	15.0	-5.98	3.6	15.4	-11.80
Mark Bryant	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	16.4	14.3	2.11	17.4	14.2	3.23
Rex Chapman	74	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	14.1	17.0	-2.89	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Clifford Robinson	79	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	14.2	17.1	-2.90	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Antonio McDyess	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-4	2	14.8	14.0	0.80	15.1	12.6	2.46
Jason Kidd	83	85	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	6	-18	14.2	18.1	-3.87	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Danny Manning	44	46	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.42	-11	5	-16	15.7	13.9	1.76	15.4	14.3	1.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	53	52	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-14	34	13.8	16.0	-2.19	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Anthony Johnson	75	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-1	8	14.6	15.5	-0.86	13.8	17.6	-3.86
Corliss Williamson	91	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	2	2	14.7	16.1	-1.43	14.5	16.8	-2.26
Michael Stewart	88	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	14.9	14.5	0.40	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Mitch Richmond	94	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	1	4	14.6	19.6	-5.05	14.6	17.0	-2.37
Terry Dehere	10	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	18.5	14.4	4.11	17.7	14.4	3.24
Olden Polynice	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	7	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.12	17.1	14.2	2.90
Bobby Hurley	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	14.9	14.8	0.17	17.5	14.1	3.42
Billy Owens	48	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	14	-22	16.1	13.6	2.52	15.2	14.3	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.62,0.84,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.3%
DAL 85, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.54,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.9%
IND 79, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	91.9%