NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	6.2 [531]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +17.1%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	3.1 [374]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -19.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	16	72%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
John Starks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Mills	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	5	56%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Mark Price	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	42%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	12	53%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	28.1	17.4	28.4	2.7	45.2	150.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +66.0%

ORL -10.8%

NYK +0.9%

ORL -3.6%

ORL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	18.4	15.6	97.7	92.9	102.5
season	15.7	16.7		100.4	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.3		101.4	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	13.7	15.6	15.3	15.3
ORL	17.5	19.9	18.7	17.4	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	38	38	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-10	25	15.3	15.4	-0.09	17.7	18.9	-1.28
John Starks	54	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	3	-1	14.4	16.8	-2.40	18.4	18.4	-0.04
Allan Houston	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	3	-1	15.6	14.7	0.98	17.6	20.1	-2.56
Larry Johnson	78	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	5	-5	15.5	14.1	1.34	17.9	22.1	-4.23
Chris Dudley	23	23	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-3	11	16.0	15.1	0.96	20.6	17.5	3.02
Charles Oakley	28	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-4	13	16.5	14.8	1.78	20.0	17.4	2.52
Buck Williams	63	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	7	-9	15.1	16.0	-0.96	17.6	20.3	-2.74
Chris Mills	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	3	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.62	19.3	17.6	1.70
Chris Childs	48	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.26	-10	15	-25	15.4	15.3	0.09	18.9	17.7	1.28
Herb Williams	0	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	6	-7	0.0	15.3	-15.34	15.0	18.4	-3.40

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Price	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-11	17	17.4	19.6	-2.13	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Dan Schayes	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	24.2	17.8	6.50	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Donald Royal	8	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.1	18.7	-3.58	10.7	15.7	-5.02
Derek Harper	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	18.4	18.2	0.24	16.1	13.9	2.12
Rony Seikaly	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	17.8	20.0	-2.15	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Gerald Wilkins	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	2	-9	19.7	17.8	1.92	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Bo Outlaw	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-1	-3	18.7	17.9	0.85	17.9	12.2	5.70
Brian Evans	54	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	19.1	17.1	1.95	14.2	17.5	-3.29
Horace Grant	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	17.8	22.6	-4.80	15.4	15.1	0.25
Darrell Armstrong	41	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	18.5	18.2	0.28	14.8	15.8	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.8%
ATL 103, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.4%
NJN 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,0	92.3%