NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	5.6 [651]		MVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): +12.5%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.6 [867]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -18.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	93%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Mark Pope	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	13	54%	-0.05
Rik Smits	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mullin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	13	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	23	61%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.02	9	63%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	15	44%	-0.09	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	26.2	14.8	23.5	2.5	34.5	128.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.4%

IND +24.3%

IND +9.3%

TOR -6.0%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	117.4	109.8	102.5
season	16.0	15.5		105.3	98.7
opponent	14.8	16.1		108.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	17.0	15.3	13.2	14.9
TOR	15.6	17.3	16.0	16.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	57	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-8	23	13.6	16.9	-3.29	18.5	13.1	5.36
Jalen Rose	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	3	1	13.2	17.0	-3.78	17.2	15.5	1.69
Travis Best	33	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	12.9	16.0	-3.16	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Fred Hoiberg	25	26	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	1	5	13.9	15.3	-1.35	19.2	15.3	3.89
Reggie Miller	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	1	5	14.5	15.9	-1.45	15.0	19.5	-4.45
Dale Davis	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	2	3	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Mark Pope	31	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	16.3	14.2	2.09	17.3	16.0	1.29
Chris Mullin	52	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	16.5	12.8	3.72	16.3	16.5	-0.26
Mark Jackson	54	54	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	16.1	13.1	3.02	15.4	17.8	-2.32
Rik Smits	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	9	-11	16.4	13.6	2.85	14.7	17.9	-3.17

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-8	9	9.8	16.9	-7.03	1.9	16.0	-14.12
Doug Christie	51	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	15.7	17.3	-1.56	15.7	13.8	1.88
Marcus Camby	71	69	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-8	9	15.6	19.1	-3.49	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Oliver Miller	70	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.29	5	-12	17	16.0	17.7	-1.68	16.6	9.9	6.65
Tracy McGrady	4	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	0	-7	31.5	15.7	15.78	16.2	14.8	1.41
Damon Stoudamire	80	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.6	21.4	-5.77	15.0	14.1	0.94
Zan Tabak	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	15.5	17.9	-2.44	16.1	13.1	3.03
Reggie Slater	21	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	11	-29	21.9	14.8	7.13	13.5	15.3	-1.84
John Wallace	31	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	9	-25	18.7	15.2	3.53	11.8	16.5	-4.67
Walt Williams	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	16.8	15.3	1.41	14.6	15.8	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0	94.3%
ATL 77, CHH 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.2%
MIN 113, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%