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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 77 Excitement5.1 [753] MVPBison Dele (DET): +12.2%
Detroit Pistons 93 Comeback1.4 [1047] LVPJerome Williams (DET): -12.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.01871%0.112-0.0710%-0.02
Tyus Edney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
John Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.030,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.03-0.041553%0.033-0.05667%-0.01
Dontae' Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.031136%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Pervis Ellison-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00558%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Dana Barros-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.042341%0.014-0.1100%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.02517%-0.062-0.0620%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bison Dele0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.070.072269%0.193-0.071100%0.01
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.02-0.051048%0.0610.001100%0.01
Charles O'Bannon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001242%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01650%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.011450%-0.024-0.091090%0.02
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.040.00845%-0.033-0.09475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game19.81.826.316.426.41.724.1116.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +8.1%
DET +13.2%
DET +9.0%
DET +20.1%
BOS -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game16.317.715.691.7109.4102.5
season15.115.9100.2102.8
opponent15.915.1101.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.216.415.517.316.3
DET18.917.917.217.017.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq2727-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-12816.816.10.6419.117.11.97
Chauncey Billups5859-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-161616.416.30.1117.618.1-0.56
Dontae' Jones32-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-12823.716.17.5924.017.66.42
Ron Mercer5654-0.09-0.410.320.12-7-9216.516.00.5217.418.2-0.78
Tyus Edney1011-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-12814.916.5-1.6413.218.4-5.22
Dana Barros1717-0.21-0.290.080.09-10-6-416.216.4-0.1419.217.41.81
Antoine Walker7373-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-11616.614.71.8618.413.74.73
Pervis Ellison4143-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.13-6-10415.617.1-1.5318.217.30.88
John Thomas2122-0.39-0.12-0.270.03-14-2-1215.916.5-0.5914.618.8-4.23
Bruce Bowen3738-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.11-12-4-817.015.81.2218.317.21.11
Walter McCarty7779-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.07-14-2-1215.920.7-4.7717.521.0-3.52

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bison Dele68670.490.010.480.021601617.518.5-0.9315.918.1-2.22
Grant Hill78780.470.030.450.011601617.125.3-8.2316.020.8-4.83
Joe Dumars68660.400.100.300.05124816.821.6-4.8216.615.31.36
Theo Ratliff62610.360.140.210.03115617.418.7-1.2716.914.92.03
Malik Sealy30290.310.190.110.0497220.616.14.4916.616.20.32
Lindsey Hunter70700.250.25-0.00-0.0197217.618.3-0.6516.615.01.61
Jerome Williams39390.160.34-0.170.02511-619.116.62.4416.516.20.36
Charles O'Bannon10100.060.44-0.39-0.00214-1219.917.42.4613.516.7-3.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 86, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,195.1%
DAL 76, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.8%
ORL 84, NOP 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%