NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	84		Excitement	4.0 [983]		MVP	Chris Mills (NYK): +8.7%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	1.3 [1185]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -14.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Blue Edwards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	12	36%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	11	55%	0.03	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	7	17%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.01	-0.11	11	48%	0.09	1	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	66%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	14	63%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	75%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Pete Myers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	26.8	15.6	26.6	2.5	33.6	131.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.3%

VAN -8.2%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	NYK	NBA	VAN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	15.6	92.3	111.8	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		101.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.3		98.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.0	16.1	18.1	14.5	16.5
NYK	15.8	16.6	12.4	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-19	18	15.2	16.7	-1.53	16.7	14.5	2.14
Lee Mayberry	44	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-17	14	14.9	17.9	-2.94	15.6	14.0	1.60
Blue Edwards	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-16	12	15.8	17.1	-1.31	14.7	15.0	-0.33
George Lynch	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-14	8	15.5	17.0	-1.52	15.5	14.5	1.03
Pete Chilcutt	41	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-8	-4	15.6	17.1	-1.49	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Bryant Reeves	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-11	2	16.5	16.4	0.11	15.2	14.4	0.76
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-7	-6	17.3	14.2	3.10	14.3	16.5	-2.19
Sam Mack	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	-4	-12	17.1	15.8	1.31	15.0	14.7	0.33
Otis Thorpe	59	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-1	-18	16.9	15.6	1.37	15.1	14.5	0.60
Antonio Daniels	47	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-3	-14	17.9	14.9	2.94	14.0	15.6	-1.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.04	18	2	16	15.4	13.3	2.09	15.9	18.2	-2.32
Charles Oakley	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	3	14	14.1	15.9	-1.82	17.4	14.9	2.49
Allan Houston	61	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	3	14	14.3	15.9	-1.53	17.3	14.9	2.38
Chris Mills	65	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	0	20	14.5	15.7	-1.26	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Patrick Ewing	54	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	10	0	15.2	14.5	0.71	16.6	16.3	0.25
Chris Dudley	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	10	0	14.5	15.2	-0.71	16.3	16.6	-0.25
John Starks	41	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	15	-10	14.8	14.9	-0.07	16.4	16.5	-0.07
Larry Johnson	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	21	-22	15.8	14.4	1.40	17.7	15.8	1.96
Buck Williams	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	16	-12	15.9	14.2	1.67	14.6	17.5	-2.88
Pete Myers	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	20	-20	14.8	14.9	-0.12	15.7	16.6	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHX 77, LAL 105	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%