NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	2.5 [1195]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +12.6%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -8.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
John Long	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	24	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.00	-0.03	24	60%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	63%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Steigenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	24.6	16.7	23.2	2.4	20.6	112.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.4%

TOR -3.9%

CHI +9.9%

CHI +9.7%

TOR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.6	103.1	119.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		102.2	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.0		99.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	13.5	13.7	16.4	15.5
CHI	10.3	17.8	13.4	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Long	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-21	25	16.4	15.3	1.13	14.9	13.7	1.17
Shawn Respert	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.25	2	-19	21	14.8	16.6	-1.83	15.2	12.3	2.89
Reggie Slater	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-12	7	14.7	16.6	-1.89	16.0	11.4	4.66
Carlos Rogers	50	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-14	11	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.7	13.2	1.43
Clifford Rozier	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.22	-16	-1	-15	15.9	15.2	0.70	13.1	14.8	-1.65
Marcus Camby	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.7	15.4	0.29	14.3	13.8	0.42
Popeye Jones	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	-1	-15	16.0	14.8	1.25	12.3	16.9	-4.61
Damon Stoudamire	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	1	-19	15.5	15.6	-0.10	13.3	18.1	-4.81
Doug Christie	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	3	-23	15.2	16.3	-1.07	13.4	15.4	-1.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-7	31	13.3	16.4	-3.10	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Michael Jordan	70	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-5	27	14.3	13.2	1.13	15.8	14.8	0.98
Scottie Pippen	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-4	25	12.0	16.1	-4.12	16.0	15.0	1.00
Ron Harper	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-2	21	11.9	16.4	-4.43	16.1	14.9	1.12
Luc Longley	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.26	21	-4	25	12.3	15.2	-2.93	16.7	14.6	2.09
Steve Kerr	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	19	-21	15.2	12.3	2.89	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Dickey Simpkins	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	20	-23	16.2	12.5	3.77	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Jud Buechler	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	23	-29	15.5	12.4	3.10	14.8	16.3	-1.56
Bison Dele	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	23	-29	15.6	13.0	2.59	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Matt Steigenga	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.4	15.6	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 69, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHI 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NJN 123, DEN 132	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.6%