NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	2.7 [1171]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +4.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -13.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	60%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	69%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	59%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	11	52%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Henry James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	9	44%	-0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	14	46%	0.01	4	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frankie King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	60%	0.00	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	29	53%	0.02	7	-0.13	18	83%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.20	0.00	-0.07	14	38%	-0.07	6	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	-0.06	23	46%	-0.07	7	-0.06	13	92%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.4	28.5	14.8	23.1	2.4	28.5	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.6%

PHI -0.7%

PHI -1.3%

ATL +15.6%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	11.6	15.6	100.0	88.6	104.4
season	16.4	14.7		105.3	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.0		108.4	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	12.4	16.2	12.2	13.4
PHI	14.2	12.4	10.8	9.7	11.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	97	97	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-6	27	13.6	12.5	1.08	12.4	7.6	4.70
Christian Laettner	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.45	33	-18	51	13.3	13.6	-0.28	13.0	9.0	3.99
Mookie Blaylock	87	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.28	25	-10	35	13.9	12.0	1.89	12.0	10.7	1.24
Dikembe Mutombo	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.37	27	-12	39	14.2	12.6	1.55	14.0	9.4	4.62
Tyrone Corbin	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	1	13	14.7	11.5	3.24	12.1	11.0	1.12
Henry James	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	16	-17	11.4	14.7	-3.33	10.7	12.3	-1.60
Alan Henderson	63	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.52	-14	29	-43	12.9	13.9	-0.97	9.7	13.9	-4.18
Eldridge Recasner	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	15	-15	13.7	13.3	0.41	12.5	11.5	1.02
Priest Lauderdale	28	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	22	-29	13.2	13.4	-0.22	7.2	12.9	-5.65
Jon Barry	32	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	12.4	13.7	-1.34	8.9	12.6	-3.69
Ivano Newbill	13	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.32	-11	26	-37	10.6	13.7	-3.11	10.3	11.8	-1.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	22	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-26	37	8.5	12.4	-3.90	14.9	13.0	1.94
Frankie King	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.39	13	-28	41	9.6	13.0	-3.39	13.0	13.6	-0.66
Adrian Caldwell	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-13	11	12.6	11.6	1.05	12.1	13.5	-1.37
Mark Hendrickson	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-9	3	11.1	12.4	-1.28	12.0	15.3	-3.26
Michael Cage	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.24	-18	3	-21	13.8	10.2	3.63	14.9	12.4	2.43
Mark Davis	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	2	-19	12.0	10.9	1.02	13.5	13.1	0.44
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	11	-37	12.5	10.0	2.55	13.5	13.2	0.26
Jerry Stackhouse	114	116	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	11.6	0.0	11.65	13.4	0.0	13.38
Allen Iverson	114	116	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	11.6	0.0	11.65	13.4	0.0	13.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, PHX 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
UTA 103, MEM 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
WAS 113, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%