NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	7.4 [341]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): +23.0%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	2.2 [1007]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -23.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	17	64%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22	0.17	0.04	-0.01	17	78%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	18	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Kenny Anderson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	14	45%	-0.09	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	11	74%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	68%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	19	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	14	64%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	15	34%	-0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	24.3	15.4	23.5	2.5	32.7	125.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.2%

DEN -9.1%

POR +36.4%

POR +4.8%

DEN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.6	15.6	122.2	118.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.2		105.2	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	16.7	17.7	16.9	16.7
DEN	13.1	16.0	18.3	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	58	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-7	20	16.6	16.9	-0.25	16.9	13.5	3.44
Kenny Anderson	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-13	32	16.9	16.3	0.64	16.8	13.3	3.47
Clifford Robinson	71	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	16.5	17.6	-1.17	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Isaiah Rider	65	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	-3	12	16.9	16.2	0.76	15.3	16.5	-1.28
Chris Dudley	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	0	6	18.1	14.8	3.29	15.7	15.5	0.19
Dontonio Wingfield	15	15	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	16.3	16.8	-0.53	16.9	15.4	1.56
Stacey Augmon	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	8	-10	15.4	17.4	-2.02	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Jermaine O'Neal	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	6	-6	16.4	16.8	-0.42	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Rumeal Robinson	31	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.29	-13	19	-32	16.3	16.9	-0.64	13.3	16.8	-3.47
Gary Trent	55	56	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	18	-30	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.6	17.4	-2.78

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Zidek	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-4	2	12.6	16.0	-3.43	17.2	16.6	0.54
Brooks Thompson	51	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-8	10	14.2	17.7	-3.52	14.9	19.2	-4.30
Kenny Smith	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.5	15.7	-0.16	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Tom Hammonds	78	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	15.2	18.9	-3.68	17.0	14.1	2.94
Anthony Goldwire	58	60	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-4	2	15.6	15.8	-0.25	16.7	16.7	0.07
Ervin Johnson	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	16.3	11.8	4.45	17.3	13.6	3.63
Dale Ellis	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.6	0.0	15.64	16.7	0.0	16.71
Antonio McDyess	57	57	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	13	-32	17.3	12.5	4.82	17.3	15.7	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.19,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	92.3%
MIA 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.09,0.02,0	92.2%
GSW 124, MIL 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0	91.9%