NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	7.5 [318]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +4.8%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	4.0 [89]		LVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Hendrickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	25	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.05	-0.04	14	44%	0.10	6	-0.16	6	33%	-0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	16	52%	-0.04	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	0.01	23	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	11	43%	-0.09	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.04	-0.00	25	42%	-0.06	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.07
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	6	36%	-0.07	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	31.3	16.5	23.7	1.8	34.3	135.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.3%

ORL -2.9%

PHI +14.0%

ORL -12.3%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	15.6	104.0	94.9	104.4
season	14.7	16.4		101.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		103.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	11.6	16.0	12.0	13.8
ORL	13.7	12.4	19.1	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	91	87	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-6	24	13.8	13.8	-0.04	15.5	12.9	2.59
Clar. Weatherspoon	86	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	7	-2	13.8	13.8	-0.04	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Allen Iverson	93	92	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	6	0	13.7	14.2	-0.53	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Michael Cage	31	31	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	0	12	11.9	14.6	-2.64	15.8	14.9	0.88
Lucious Harris	21	22	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	4	4	13.6	13.8	-0.24	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Mark Hendrickson	11	11	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	4	4	12.4	13.9	-1.57	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Doug Overton	8	6	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	6	0	14.2	13.7	0.53	16.0	15.2	0.85
Mark Davis	90	87	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	14	-16	13.8	13.4	0.45	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Derrick Coleman	69	66	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	13	-14	14.9	11.2	3.68	15.2	15.1	0.12
Scott Williams	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	12.2	13.8	-1.64	15.4	15.2	0.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-17	22	16.0	14.9	1.12	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Anfernee Hardaway	87	90	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-14	16	15.0	16.5	-1.51	13.8	13.4	0.45
Nick Anderson	81	82	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-16	20	15.0	16.3	-1.32	13.9	13.4	0.49
Dennis Scott	38	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-4	-4	15.9	14.8	1.13	15.7	12.4	3.32
Derek Strong	81	85	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-11	10	15.2	15.4	-0.25	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Dan Schayes	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.4	15.2	0.23	14.5	13.6	0.85
Gerald Wilkins	18	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	3	-18	16.2	15.0	1.25	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Rony Seikaly	94	97	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	1	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.57	14.0	7.0	7.04
Brian Shaw	42	44	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.12	-23	11	-34	14.4	15.8	-1.36	11.3	15.7	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.57,0.35,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	93.0%
SAC 93, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.02,0	91.6%
BOS 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	91.5%