NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	2.1 [1229]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +10.1%
Washington Bullets	113		Comeback	1.0 [1174]		LVP	Sharone Wright (TOR): -6.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Martin Lewis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	7	33%	-0.03	3	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	15	46%	-0.04	4	-0.01	5	0%	-0.03
Sharone Wright	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.19	0.00	-0.13	8	37%	-0.03	8	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	10	86%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	18	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.14	5	20%	0.01	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	80%	0.05	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	28.0	7.7	24.3	1.6	23.5	113.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.0%

WAS +4.6%

WAS +8.5%

WAS +1.8%

WAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.2	15.6	86.9	115.3	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		102.2	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.0		103.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.7	14.7	18.5	15.2	16.0
WAS	12.0	14.7	13.4	13.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martin Lewis	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-26	25	15.5	16.2	-0.71	13.2	13.3	-0.13
Carlos Rogers	58	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-24	21	15.3	16.9	-1.57	13.7	12.6	1.01
Reggie Slater	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-15	3	16.1	15.8	0.32	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Clifford Rozier	12	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	-13	-1	18.2	15.7	2.58	11.5	13.5	-1.99
Sharone Wright	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	-12	-3	16.8	14.9	1.94	12.7	13.9	-1.15
Shawn Respert	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-15	3	14.9	18.9	-4.00	13.5	12.7	0.80
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	-3	-21	16.2	15.6	0.56	13.4	13.0	0.32
Doug Christie	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.27	-26	-1	-25	16.2	15.5	0.71	13.3	13.2	0.13
Marcus Camby	68	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.32	-28	1	-29	16.3	15.3	1.05	13.3	13.0	0.31

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	58	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.54	38	-11	49	12.9	13.8	-0.94	17.1	14.3	2.80
Chris Webber	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	0	27	12.8	14.0	-1.16	16.7	14.7	1.96
Juwan Howard	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	5	17	13.6	12.4	1.16	16.6	14.4	2.11
Rod Strickland	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	6	15	12.5	14.0	-1.47	16.8	15.2	1.54
Harvey Grant	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.41	21	6	15	13.0	13.5	-0.50	14.5	17.4	-2.83
Gheorghe Muresan	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	18	-9	13.8	12.9	0.90	17.8	14.7	3.12
Chris Whitney	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	21	-15	14.0	12.5	1.47	15.2	16.8	-1.54
Tracy Murray	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	23	-19	13.2	13.3	-0.10	14.2	17.6	-3.36
Ben Wallace	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	30	-33	13.1	13.3	-0.17	16.2	16.0	0.24
Jaren Jackson	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	30	-33	13.7	13.1	0.61	14.5	16.3	-1.86
Ashraf Amaya	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.9	13.3	-0.37	14.3	16.3	-2.02
Tim Legler	20	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	35	-43	14.0	13.0	1.01	14.8	16.2	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIA 62, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
UTA 98, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%