NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	1.7 [1248]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +6.4%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	1.1 [1157]		LVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): -8.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	57%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
George McCloud	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Byron Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.00	-0.08	13	23%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.07	15	70%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	11	73%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	70%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	12	42%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	10	73%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	19	52%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	26.7	18.7	20.6	2.8	27.3	124.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.7%

ORL +1.3%

ORL +10.5%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.6	89.4	119.6	104.4
season	15.3	16.4		105.8	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	15.8	17.0	13.1	14.6
ORL	15.2	15.5	19.0	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	35	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-31	36	14.3	14.8	-0.49	16.9	16.1	0.84
George McCloud	43	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-29	32	14.5	14.7	-0.24	16.5	16.3	0.17
Travis Knight	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-20	14	13.4	15.5	-2.11	15.8	16.8	-0.96
Sean Rooks	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-24	22	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Kobe Bryant	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-15	4	14.2	14.9	-0.65	14.7	17.6	-2.90
Byron Scott	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-21	16	14.2	14.7	-0.50	18.2	15.7	2.46
Corie Blount	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.28	-17	-9	-8	14.9	14.1	0.78	16.3	16.4	-0.10
Elden Campbell	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-17	8	14.8	14.4	0.41	18.0	14.4	3.52
Jerome Kersey	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.35	-24	-2	-22	14.8	14.4	0.37	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Eddie Jones	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.53	-33	7	-40	15.2	13.9	1.25	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Nick Van Exel	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.44	-31	5	-36	14.8	14.3	0.49	16.1	16.9	-0.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.53	33	-7	40	16.3	16.7	-0.44	14.7	14.2	0.56
Anfernee Hardaway	63	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	3	20	17.2	14.6	2.59	14.7	14.3	0.37
Rony Seikaly	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	8	10	16.8	14.7	2.07	14.9	13.0	1.95
Nick Anderson	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.41	26	0	26	16.1	17.5	-1.42	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Dennis Scott	56	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.45	27	-1	28	16.2	16.7	-0.50	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Brian Shaw	42	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	27	-28	16.5	16.3	0.11	15.1	14.2	0.98
Gerald Wilkins	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	28	-30	17.5	15.8	1.75	15.4	14.2	1.18
Derek Strong	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	30	-34	17.7	15.8	1.85	14.7	14.5	0.22
Dan Schayes	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	11.9	16.8	-4.91	11.3	14.9	-3.58
Darrell Armstrong	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	11.9	16.8	-4.91	11.3	14.9	-3.58
David Vaughn	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	10.0	16.7	-6.68	11.0	14.8	-3.80
Brian Evans	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	10.0	16.7	-6.68	11.0	14.8	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 79, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
PHX 89, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
MIA 54, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%