NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	117		Excitement	6.3 [532]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +18.0%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	2.0 [838]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.04	14	82%	0.20	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.05	6	107%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.05	0.03	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	7	100%	0.08
Stephen Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	22	49%	-0.04	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	6	23%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	11	36%	-0.11	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	2	117%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.02	0.06	15	72%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	16	48%	-0.07	2	-0.04	14	71%	-0.03
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	11	45%	-0.08	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	28.4	14.8	24.7	1.7	33.7	131.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +9.8%

UTA +17.5%

UTA +13.8%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.6	120.6	106.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.4		110.8	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.0		106.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.7	16.4	15.1	15.0	15.0
NJN	13.0	15.6	17.6	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	66	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	1	13	13.9	17.4	-3.52	15.2	14.2	0.93
Karl Malone	75	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	14.7	16.0	-1.25	14.9	14.6	0.32
John Stockton	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	-2	19	15.4	13.5	1.81	15.3	13.3	1.96
Jeff Hornacek	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-1	17	14.5	16.5	-1.95	14.4	16.2	-1.82
Bryon Russell	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	1	13	14.5	16.5	-2.01	14.2	17.1	-2.94
Chris Morris	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	14	-13	16.5	14.5	1.95	16.6	14.3	2.36
Shandon Anderson	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	16	-17	16.5	14.5	2.01	16.6	14.3	2.36
Antoine Carr	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	14	-13	16.4	13.8	2.59	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Howard Eisley	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	17	-19	13.5	15.4	-1.81	13.3	15.3	-1.96
Greg Foster	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	17.7	14.9	2.88	15.7	14.8	0.93
Stephen Howard	4	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	19	-23	20.5	14.8	5.75	18.4	14.7	3.74

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Edwards	13	15	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-18	21	13.2	15.1	-1.97	15.0	15.0	0.01
Eric Montross	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-9	3	15.1	14.7	0.36	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Xavier McDaniel	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-15	15	14.2	15.2	-1.00	14.2	15.4	-1.13
Kendall Gill	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.1	14.0	1.09	15.6	12.9	2.72
Kerry Kittles	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-8	1	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Tony Massenburg	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	0	-15	15.2	14.2	1.00	15.4	14.2	1.13
Joe Kleine	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.36	15.2	14.6	0.55
Sam Cassell	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.0	15.0	-0.06
Jim Jackson	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	3	-21	14.6	15.7	-1.08	14.5	16.3	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 94, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.15,0.09,0	94.2%