NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	3.5 [1074]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +14.3%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	1.4 [1221]		LVP	Sherman Douglas (MIL): -8.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	-0.01	-0.08	18	56%	0.09	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	57%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
David Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuonzo Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Johnny Newman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.03	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.02	19	70%	0.17	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	8	65%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	24	49%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0	50%	0.00	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	26.1	14.7	30.1	2.5	24.6	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +20.5%

CHI +2.7%

CHI +12.4%

CHI +14.2%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.6	95.7	113.7	104.4
season	16.0	15.5		103.9	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.5		99.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	15.2	17.7	14.7	16.2
CHI	14.1	17.5	11.8	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wood	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	13.5	16.3	-2.81	7.4	14.7	-7.28
Acie Earl	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.9	16.3	-1.44	10.9	14.7	-3.76
Cuonzo Martin	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-18	18	15.7	16.3	-0.51	11.5	14.7	-3.20
Chucky Brown	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-23	28	14.7	16.7	-2.06	14.1	14.4	-0.24
Elliot Perry	47	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-20	22	14.7	17.7	-3.06	15.1	13.5	1.69
Joe Wolf	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-9	0	15.6	16.7	-1.08	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Ray Allen	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-8	-2	16.4	16.0	0.45	15.4	13.5	2.00
Johnny Newman	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	-2	-14	16.8	15.5	1.29	14.3	14.3	-0.07
Vin Baker	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-1	-16	16.7	15.4	1.21	15.0	13.2	1.72
Glenn Robinson	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.9	17.8	-1.91	14.6	12.7	1.85
Armen Gilliam	53	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.08	-18	0	-18	17.1	15.0	2.07	14.4	14.2	0.22
Sherman Douglas	47	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	2	-22	17.7	14.7	3.06	13.5	15.1	-1.69

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	61	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-6	30	14.7	13.6	1.01	17.4	14.1	3.25
Michael Jordan	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.03	17	1	16	14.8	13.0	1.84	16.8	14.4	2.44
Scottie Pippen	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.17	21	-3	24	14.0	15.1	-1.14	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Luc Longley	52	51	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.16	16	2	14	13.1	15.8	-2.73	17.4	14.8	2.58
Randy Brown	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	2	14	12.5	15.9	-3.35	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Ron Harper	30	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	10	-2	15.2	13.9	1.32	17.9	15.4	2.51
Steve Kerr	37	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	18	-18	15.2	13.7	1.42	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Jason Caffey	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	17	-16	15.2	13.2	1.98	14.7	18.0	-3.33
Robert Parish	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	25	-32	16.5	13.9	2.60	13.4	16.7	-3.33
Dickey Simpkins	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	11.5	14.7	-3.20	16.4	16.2	0.19
Jud Buechler	36	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	26	-34	14.5	14.2	0.33	14.1	17.5	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 74, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 87, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%