NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	7.7 [298]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +4.4%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	1.5 [877]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -25.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Edney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.00	12	71%	0.11	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Billy Owens	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	6	43%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	16	43%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Mitch Richmond	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25	-0.06	-0.17	0.02	25	52%	-0.16	4	-0.09	12	67%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	20	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	20	53%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	10	38%	-0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.1	14.8	29.0	1.6	30.9	128.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.3%

NJN +5.6%

SAC -1.2%

NJN +12.8%

NJN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	94.7	101.0	104.4
season	15.4	15.4		102.4	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	15.1	14.7	16.7	15.5
NJN	15.0	12.6	14.7	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	25	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	17.0	15.0	1.96	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	36	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	15.9	15.3	0.69	15.0	14.5	0.50
Bobby Hurley	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	13.1	15.7	-2.61	8.2	15.2	-6.98
Jeff Grayer	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	20.5	14.7	5.73	15.9	14.4	1.50
Kevin Salvadori	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.71	16.7	14.5	2.16
Kevin Gamble	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	1	-9	17.6	15.1	2.46	10.1	15.6	-5.50
Billy Owens	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	14.5	16.8	-2.29	15.3	13.8	1.51
Olden Polynice	75	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	15.3	16.1	-0.80	14.7	14.5	0.15
Mitch Richmond	89	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.9	24.0	-9.06	14.7	13.5	1.22
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	64	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.4	15.8	-0.48	15.0	13.9	1.08
Michael Smith	90	92	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.5	15.0	0.54	14.8	10.5	4.33

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	61	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-7	21	15.2	13.7	1.51	16.2	14.2	1.96
Jim Jackson	60	59	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	15.5	13.2	2.23	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Xavier McDaniel	78	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-3	13	14.9	13.4	1.48	15.9	13.8	2.14
Sam Cassell	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	1	5	14.5	15.1	-0.51	15.9	14.0	1.89
Kendall Gill	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.0	17.9	-2.88
Kerry Kittles	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	13.9	15.3	-1.36	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Kevin Edwards	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	8	-9	14.4	14.8	-0.36	17.6	14.6	2.93
Tony Massenburg	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	10	-13	13.4	15.0	-1.59	13.1	16.1	-3.08
Joe Kleine	33	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	14.2	14.9	-0.75	14.5	16.0	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.44,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	93.2%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.0%
SAS 78, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.68,0.92,1	92.8%