NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	125		Excitement	2.7 [1173]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +7.9%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	1.0 [1078]		LVP	Walt Williams (TOR): -6.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.05	13	55%	0.08	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	9	105%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	12	72%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	14	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	70%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	18	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	16	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.02
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	15	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	29.1	15.8	26.2	2.5	22.2	123.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.8%

SAS -0.5%

TOR +8.1%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.6	126.3	95.8	104.4
season	16.1	16.8		102.2	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.0		109.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	15.1	14.4	15.5	14.5
SAS	14.0	14.9	13.3	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.47	32	1	31	14.2	15.5	-1.36	15.2	14.7	0.45
Damon Stoudamire	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	13	7	13.9	16.0	-2.05	14.2	17.5	-3.25
Walt Williams	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.49	31	2	29	13.8	17.0	-3.14	15.1	15.1	0.02
Oliver Miller	46	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	17	-1	13.3	15.5	-2.15	13.7	16.2	-2.44
Carlos Rogers	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.30	19	14	5	15.3	13.6	1.69	15.9	14.2	1.77
Marcus Camby	53	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	15	3	15.3	13.6	1.70	15.9	14.1	1.85
Hubert Davis	57	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	18	-3	15.6	13.0	2.60	15.9	14.1	1.82
Popeye Jones	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	23	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.38	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Acie Earl	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	32	-31	16.6	14.2	2.40	16.5	14.9	1.59
Reggie Slater	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	30	-27	15.1	14.4	0.70	13.2	15.2	-1.99

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	57	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-20	7	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.5	14.4	0.17
Greg Anderson	37	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.33	-19	-14	-5	15.4	14.9	0.50	15.1	14.0	1.09
Cory Alexander	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.29	-18	-15	-3	15.2	15.0	0.16	15.2	13.8	1.32
Carl Herrera	65	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.49	-26	-7	-19	16.3	12.4	3.92	14.5	14.3	0.19
Will Perdue	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-19	5	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Avery Johnson	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-10	-13	15.3	14.6	0.65	14.0	15.6	-1.61
Dominique Wilkins	70	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	-8	-17	14.8	15.8	-1.06	14.8	13.5	1.27
Vinny Del Negro	80	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	-6	-21	14.5	17.7	-3.14	14.1	16.2	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
POR 96, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
ORL 105, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%