NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	3.8 [1024]		MVP	Rex Walters (PHI): +17.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1081]		LVP	Dominique Wilkins (SAS): -7.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.08	16	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Carl Herrera	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sean Elliott	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Dominique Wilkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	38%	-0.08	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	7	121%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	20	62%	0.17	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	65%	0.09	4	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	46%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	26.0	14.7	26.2	2.3	23.6	115.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +53.8%

PHI +5.0%

SAS -6.2%

PHI +1.6%

SAS -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	18.0	15.2	15.6	112.8	128.4	104.4
season	16.8	14.7		100.8	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		108.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.1	19.4	17.6	16.7	18.0
PHI	16.2	14.2	14.4	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-15	14	17.9	18.0	-0.07	18.7	14.8	3.92
Darrin Hancock	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-16	16	14.9	18.6	-3.74	15.6	15.1	0.54
Jamie Feick	48	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-18	20	17.2	18.9	-1.64	15.0	15.4	-0.33
Cory Alexander	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-13	10	17.4	18.4	-0.95	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Vinny Del Negro	51	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-14	12	17.3	18.9	-1.67	15.5	14.7	0.73
Dominique Wilkins	47	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-10	4	18.5	17.3	1.28	14.6	15.9	-1.24
Carl Herrera	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	0	-16	19.4	17.1	2.24	16.1	14.7	1.34
Vernon Maxwell	58	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	-6	-4	18.1	17.7	0.41	14.3	17.1	-2.82
Avery Johnson	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	18.4	17.4	0.95	15.5	14.8	0.65
Greg Anderson	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	0	-16	18.2	17.7	0.51	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Sean Elliott	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-1	-14	18.5	17.2	1.25	15.5	14.7	0.83

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	1	14	15.5	14.8	0.64	18.5	17.2	1.35
Jerry Stackhouse	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	7	2	15.5	13.8	1.76	18.2	16.9	1.34
Rex Walters	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	0	16	15.0	15.5	-0.52	17.9	18.0	-0.02
Allen Iverson	63	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	7	2	15.1	15.4	-0.25	17.6	18.8	-1.28
Don MacLean	61	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	9	-2	14.4	17.0	-2.68	17.8	18.3	-0.45
Mark Davis	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	9	-2	14.9	15.5	-0.63	17.6	18.4	-0.84
Michael Cage	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	6	4	16.8	13.3	3.54	18.0	17.9	0.10
Doug Overton	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	9	-2	15.4	15.1	0.25	18.8	17.6	1.28
Adrian Caldwell	14	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	14	-12	12.2	15.7	-3.53	18.5	17.9	0.64
Scott Williams	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.2	15.2	0.07	10.7	18.3	-7.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 68, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 93, MIN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%