NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	4.4 [899]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +28.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	1.3 [828]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -15.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.26	0.07	0.05	28	73%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	12	31%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.23	-0.03	-0.11	14	22%	-0.10	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.03	19	63%	0.19	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	1	86%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	58%	-0.04	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.04	6	-0.14	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	39.1	17.8	25.2	2.7	33.2	145.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.3%

SEA -1.5%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +9.8%

CHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.6	104.6	94.4	104.4
season	15.5	14.9		110.5	108.9
opponent	16.2	16.1		100.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.5	16.4	17.0	18.0	16.4
SEA	15.5	15.0	19.0	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	30	32	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-10	27	15.9	16.6	-0.72	16.5	16.2	0.27
Michael Jordan	81	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.32	4	3	1	16.7	12.2	4.55	16.7	12.7	3.93
Dickey Simpkins	25	25	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-4	15	15.7	16.7	-1.01	17.2	16.0	1.16
Scottie Pippen	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	7	-7	16.4	16.1	0.32	16.4	16.1	0.27
Randy Brown	19	22	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-2	11	17.8	16.0	1.77	13.5	17.2	-3.69
Steve Kerr	41	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	16.1	16.7	-0.53	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Toni Kukoc	71	72	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	11	-15	16.6	15.6	0.95	16.0	17.8	-1.78
Jud Buechler	2	2	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	0.5	16.8	-16.28	3.5	16.6	-13.12
Luc Longley	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	12	-17	16.2	16.6	-0.43	16.8	15.9	0.93
Bill Wennington	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	8	-9	18.2	16.0	2.26	14.1	16.9	-2.80
Ron Harper	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	16.1	16.6	-0.56	18.9	14.8	4.09

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-13	19	18.5	15.5	3.05	16.8	16.3	0.50
Hersey Hawkins	70	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-14	21	15.5	19.5	-4.00	16.4	16.4	0.06
Shawn Kemp	74	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-11	15	16.0	18.0	-2.01	16.8	14.3	2.52
Detlef Schrempf	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-9	11	16.6	15.1	1.52	16.6	15.6	1.03
Craig Ehlo	16	14	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	18.5	15.8	2.65	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Eric Snow	20	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	17.3	16.0	1.26	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Terry Cummings	23	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	4	-15	18.5	15.6	2.90	16.6	16.3	0.31
David Wingate	20	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.13	-16	9	-25	15.9	16.4	-0.55	14.4	16.9	-2.47
Gary Payton	77	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	16.2	16.9	-0.68	16.7	14.9	1.74
Sam Perkins	49	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	14.7	18.3	-3.63	15.9	17.0	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 105, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	94.4%
UTA 102, GSW 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%