NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	5.3 [741]		MVP	Michael Smith (SAC): +5.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	2.0 [354]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -12.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Bobby Hurley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	5	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Grayer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	25	60%	0.14	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Duane Causwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.01	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Gamble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	22	55%	0.04	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.05	-0.10	17	40%	-0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	10	40%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.6	25.6	15.6	24.2	1.6	30.0	120.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.4%

SAC +2.5%

PHI -4.0%

SAC +11.8%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	15.6	105.9	90.2	104.4
season	15.4	14.7		102.4	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		108.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	13.8	12.8	16.2	14.6
PHI	14.0	14.4	12.1	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	83	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-6	27	14.2	16.3	-2.13	13.4	15.7	-2.25
Michael Smith	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	4	7	14.3	15.3	-1.07	12.7	16.6	-3.93
Mitch Richmond	85	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-2	19	14.3	16.0	-1.68	14.0	12.5	1.56
Corliss Williamson	83	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	5	5	14.6	14.5	0.10	14.3	11.6	2.72
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	58	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.24	20	-5	25	13.9	15.4	-1.49	13.8	13.8	-0.09
Bobby Hurley	54	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.29	-2	17	-19	15.2	13.9	1.29	13.5	14.0	-0.49
Jeff Grayer	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	3	9	14.6	14.6	-0.01	13.9	13.7	0.20
Kevin Salvadori	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	20.7	14.3	6.42	12.5	13.8	-1.35
Kevin Gamble	17	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	21	-27	15.9	14.3	1.63	16.1	13.4	2.74
Duane Causwell	18	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	21	-27	16.3	14.2	2.13	15.7	13.4	2.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	14.3	13.8	0.53	18.5	14.2	4.25
Doug Overton	20	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-19	23	16.5	13.1	3.37	17.1	13.9	3.20
Don MacLean	20	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-14	13	16.2	13.2	2.99	14.8	14.5	0.24
Rex Walters	67	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-10	5	14.7	12.1	2.56	14.7	14.4	0.30
Michael Cage	70	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-9	3	13.4	14.7	-1.26	14.8	14.1	0.78
Adrian Caldwell	32	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	14.7	13.4	1.26	14.1	14.8	-0.78
Lucious Harris	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-5	-5	12.1	14.7	-2.56	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Allen Iverson	82	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	4	-23	13.1	16.5	-3.37	13.9	17.1	-3.20
Clar. Weatherspoon	86	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	2	-19	13.3	16.6	-3.36	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Jerry Stackhouse	91	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	1	-17	13.7	14.4	-0.64	14.4	15.6	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	94.7%
CHI 89, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 96, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%