NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	7.3 [358]		MVP	Gary Trent (POR): +8.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.1 [565]		LVP	Jerome Kersey (LAL): -37.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	13	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Dontonio Wingfield	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	14	52%	0.15	2	-0.09	3	33%	0.03
Chris Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	15	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	71%	0.14	8	-0.23	18	83%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	72%	0.14	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Kleine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	22	54%	0.09	3	-0.10	17	53%	-0.06
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	15	30%	-0.16	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.37	-0.37	-0.16	-0.21	0.01	8	25%	-0.27	2	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.0	33.2	15.8	31.2	2.4	43.3	158.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.2%

POR +10.4%

POR +0.0%

LAL -8.1%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.6	107.4	107.7	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.2	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	13.1	20.4	16.2	15.8
LAL	15.6	15.8	15.6	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	91	84	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-3	10	15.7	18.2	-2.58	14.9	18.7	-3.83
Chris Dudley	31	30	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-8	20	18.8	14.3	4.49	15.7	14.9	0.83
Clifford Robinson	84	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	4	-4	15.5	17.8	-2.31	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Gary Trent	83	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	6	-8	15.7	16.6	-0.92	14.7	18.3	-3.65
Kenny Anderson	75	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.48	-7	11	-18	15.7	15.9	-0.15	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Jermaine O'Neal	10	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-2	8	17.6	15.6	2.04	18.2	14.8	3.40
Arvydas Sabonis	55	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	9	-14	13.2	19.3	-6.04	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Aaron McKie	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.15	8	-4	12	16.3	15.6	0.69	17.0	14.5	2.53
Dontonio Wingfield	22	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	18.5	15.0	3.54	18.1	14.2	3.95

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	71	75	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-16	28	15.0	15.9	-0.99	18.2	6.8	11.37
Derek Fisher	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	4	-12	16.2	15.1	1.16	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Joe Kleine	5	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	2	-8	20.4	14.9	5.53	6.5	16.2	-9.69
Travis Knight	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-6	8	15.6	14.9	0.74	18.2	14.2	3.99
Byron Scott	20	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	1	-6	13.0	15.8	-2.79	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Eddie Jones	71	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-5	6	15.8	13.0	2.79	16.2	14.1	2.09
Robert Horry	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	15.2	15.1	0.09	16.3	14.9	1.34
Jerome Kersey	49	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	4	-12	15.0	15.4	-0.43	13.6	18.6	-5.02
Nick Van Exel	82	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-8	12	15.1	16.2	-1.16	15.8	15.6	0.17
Elden Campbell	53	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	10	-24	14.8	15.7	-0.87	13.2	19.5	-6.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.41,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.05,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
WAS 105, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.14,0.16,0	93.0%
SEA 92, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%