NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	6.7 [453]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +12.3%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	2.7 [590]		LVP	Cedric Ceballos (PHX): -34.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	69%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	66%	0.13	5	-0.15	12	100%	0.10
Ben Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Hot Rod Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Loren Meyer	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	8	68%	0.08	8	-0.24	6	83%	0.02
Rex Chapman	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	7	45%	-0.16	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.11
Cedric Ceballos	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.34	-0.09	-0.25	-0.00	15	52%	-0.12	6	-0.23	1	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	23	56%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	30.2	14.7	23.5	2.5	34.0	134.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +13.5%

PHX -6.8%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +35.8%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	15.6	15.6	91.0	94.1	104.4
season	14.6	15.6		106.8	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.6		102.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	13.3	13.6	12.8	13.0
UTA	16.3	13.9	14.7	18.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	79	78	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.37	16	-20	36	12.5	15.2	-2.78	16.4	13.0	3.37
Ben Davis	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	11.1	13.3	-2.22	15.8	15.6	0.24
Steve Nash	16	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.9	12.5	3.45	16.7	15.4	1.29
Rumeal Robinson	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	0	-4	12.1	13.1	-1.04	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Cedric Ceballos	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-8	12	13.3	12.4	0.87	15.9	14.8	1.13
Loren Meyer	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	13.3	12.5	0.82	15.9	14.9	1.05
Wayman Tisdale	29	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	15	-34	15.3	12.1	3.15	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Kevin Johnson	83	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-4	4	12.6	15.2	-2.57	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Rex Chapman	45	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	4	-12	13.5	12.7	0.86	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Wesley Person	83	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	12.4	16.1	-3.64	15.3	16.9	-1.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	30	30	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-7	18	14.8	15.9	-1.10	11.9	13.5	-1.68
John Stockton	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	-1	6	15.8	15.0	0.83	13.3	11.9	1.43
Ruben Nembhard	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-6	16	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.4	12.2	2.27
Chris Morris	38	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-3	10	15.2	15.9	-0.67	11.4	14.0	-2.64
Greg Foster	36	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-8	20	13.6	16.7	-3.18	14.9	12.1	2.88
Antoine Carr	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-3	10	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.7	12.1	2.58
Karl Malone	80	79	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	12	-20	16.2	13.3	2.93	12.5	15.2	-2.72
Jeff Hornacek	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	10	-16	15.6	15.5	0.11	12.2	14.4	-2.27
Bryon Russell	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	9	-14	16.0	15.2	0.82	14.4	11.8	2.53
Howard Eisley	22	20	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	5	-6	15.0	15.8	-0.83	11.9	13.3	-1.43
Stephen Howard	18	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	9	-14	16.3	15.5	0.82	11.4	13.4	-2.00
Greg Ostertag	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	17.4	15.2	2.24	12.3	13.2	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 99, NOK 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.91,1	94.3%
CHI 71, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%
OKC 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.96,1	93.3%