NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	3.9 [991]		MVP	George McCloud (DAL): +14.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.0 [346]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -18.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	12	85%	0.14	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	81%	0.11	4	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Derek Harper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Fred Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	112%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	63%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	9	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	12	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	22	41%	-0.08	6	-0.10	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.8	28.3	15.4	22.2	1.6	27.3	127.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.2%

DAL +4.0%

PHI -12.0%

DAL +11.7%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	15.6	113.3	94.9	104.4
season	15.9	14.7		99.1	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.7		108.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	12.0	12.2	16.8	13.6
PHI	17.0	15.2	18.6	12.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	11	-4	13.1	15.5	-2.43	16.3	13.9	2.41
Derek Harper	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	6	6	14.8	12.4	2.42	14.4	17.3	-2.84
A.C. Green	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	3	12	12.5	15.2	-2.72	17.6	13.2	4.48
Sam Cassell	70	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	1	16	13.4	14.2	-0.89	16.2	14.8	1.40
George McCloud	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	7	4	14.2	13.1	1.13	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Chris Gatling	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	5	8	14.0	13.1	0.87	15.2	16.7	-1.57
Oliver Miller	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	9	0	14.5	13.0	1.51	13.4	17.4	-3.93
Jamal Mashburn	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	8	2	12.8	14.5	-1.71	17.5	14.1	3.42
Eric Montross	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.08	4	14	-10	13.7	13.6	0.15	17.4	14.8	2.53
Fred Roberts	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	17.2	13.5	3.79	9.6	16.1	-6.51
Greg Dreiling	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	15.3	13.6	1.78	4.0	16.1	-12.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	21	20	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-21	24	17.9	15.2	2.65	13.2	13.7	-0.52
Lucious Harris	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	12.0	16.3	-4.25	18.7	13.0	5.76
Mark Bradtke	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-22	26	12.7	16.8	-4.16	16.8	12.6	4.21
Scott Williams	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-10	2	17.6	14.4	3.18	12.4	14.6	-2.27
Doug Overton	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-13	8	17.7	14.7	3.00	12.2	14.4	-2.20
Don MacLean	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-7	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.19	12.7	14.0	-1.31
Mark Davis	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-10	2	15.6	15.9	-0.24	14.0	13.4	0.58
Rex Walters	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-4	-10	14.2	17.2	-3.04	13.3	13.9	-0.64
Allen Iverson	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-5	-8	14.7	17.7	-3.00	14.4	12.2	2.20
Michael Cage	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-4	-10	15.8	15.8	0.04	12.9	13.9	-1.03
Jerry Stackhouse	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.6	13.6	2.96	13.5	14.0	-0.53
Clar. Weatherspoon	82	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	-1	-16	16.3	13.1	3.24	13.5	14.3	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	96.3%
HOU 107, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIA 114, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%