NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	82		Excitement	3.1 [1123]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +12.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.9 [709]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -12.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Donald Whiteside	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	125%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Cureton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Long	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	13	30%	-0.07	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	12	70%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	7	61%	0.03	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	7	50%	0.00	7	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	23.3	15.4	30.9	2.4	29.7	126.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.4%

CLE +8.1%

TOR -2.0%

CLE +10.0%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	16.3	15.6	92.1	102.2	104.4
season	16.1	17.8		102.2	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.0		100.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.0	20.2	14.7	12.7	16.0
CLE	15.7	15.8	14.7	19.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Long	35	36	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-20	31	15.1	16.6	-1.57	17.9	15.3	2.68
Earl Cureton	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-18	27	8.7	17.2	-8.49	21.3	15.5	5.81
Donald Whiteside	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-19	29	8.9	17.6	-8.70	20.5	15.4	5.17
Popeye Jones	54	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	18.0	13.0	4.96	15.3	18.0	-2.63
Zan Tabak	37	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-8	7	14.4	17.1	-2.70	18.3	15.1	3.20
Carlos Rogers	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-10	11	14.6	18.9	-4.31	17.1	14.9	2.24
Sharone Wright	34	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	1	-11	18.5	14.5	4.03	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Damon Stoudamire	67	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	10	-29	17.8	10.5	7.26	15.0	20.1	-5.04
Doug Christie	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.02	-22	13	-35	16.6	13.8	2.82	15.5	19.4	-3.91
Walt Williams	61	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.04	-23	14	-37	16.5	15.0	1.42	15.3	18.6	-3.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-6	21	16.9	14.2	2.67	15.0	20.4	-5.40
Chris Mills	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-6	21	15.9	20.3	-4.43	15.9	17.3	-1.47
Bobby Phills	54	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-3	15	16.5	16.1	0.48	16.2	15.7	0.49
Terrell Brandon	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	16.7	15.6	1.08	16.5	14.8	1.70
Bob Sura	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	4	1	16.1	16.7	-0.63	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Antonio Lang	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	15.7	16.7	-0.98	16.8	15.6	1.21
Danny Ferry	59	61	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	15	-21	17.6	13.8	3.84	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Carl Thomas	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	10.8	17.1	-6.25	18.2	15.8	2.46
Vitaly Potapenko	13	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	10	-11	12.3	17.0	-4.73	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Mark West	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	14	-19	19.2	15.9	3.23	19.6	15.5	4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DEN 102, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
IND 67, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%