NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	4.9 [815]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +9.8%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	2.9 [239]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -17.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	68%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.06	13	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	14	51%	0.07	4	-0.09	11	36%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	86%	0.16	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elmer Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	9	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	17	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	12	32%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.4	26.5	16.4	27.5	2.5	28.6	129.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.6%

HOU -8.1%

SAS +5.2%

SAS +13.3%

HOU -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	123.7	111.0	104.4
season	16.8	15.5		100.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	15.2	14.6	16.8	15.5
HOU	17.8	14.2	15.5	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	34	33	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	3	8	15.2	15.6	-0.41	13.5	17.1	-3.65
Vernon Maxwell	48	45	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	5	4	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Dominique Wilkins	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	17.0	12.8	4.15	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Avery Johnson	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-1	16	15.5	15.4	0.09	16.6	13.7	2.94
David Robinson	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	15.1	16.0	-0.90	16.7	14.8	1.95
Greg Anderson	14	13	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	13	-12	14.1	15.7	-1.59	13.5	16.2	-2.65
Will Perdue	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	4	6	15.2	15.8	-0.62	16.5	14.9	1.63
Cory Alexander	28	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	15	-16	15.4	15.5	-0.09	13.7	16.6	-2.94
Vinny Del Negro	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	9	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.03	17.0	14.6	2.40
Sean Elliott	63	62	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	9	-4	15.8	14.9	0.88	16.9	13.4	3.52
Stephen Howard	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	8.5	16.0	-7.48	13.0	16.0	-3.01

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	13.7	16.0	-2.26	13.1	15.7	-2.64
Elmer Bennett	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	13.6	16.0	-2.43	12.1	15.8	-3.69
Tracy Moore	22	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-13	12	14.1	16.3	-2.21	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Randy Livingston	22	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-15	16	14.0	16.4	-2.39	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Matt Bullard	21	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	14.3	16.3	-1.92	14.3	15.9	-1.64
Hakeem Olajuwon	62	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	15.7	16.1	-0.48	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Kevin Willis	28	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	2	-18	15.9	15.8	0.17	17.4	14.6	2.79
Clyde Drexler	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	16.3	14.3	1.92	15.9	14.3	1.64
Matt Maloney	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	1	-16	16.4	14.0	2.39	15.7	15.0	0.73
Mario Elie	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	3	-20	16.2	13.9	2.30	15.9	14.1	1.75
Charles Barkley	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	0	-14	16.4	13.5	2.89	15.6	15.0	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 109, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 87, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%