NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	2.6 [1179]		MVP	Frank Brickowski (BOS): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.0 [1011]		LVP	Jim Jackson (DAL): -9.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	71%	0.04	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Dumas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	15	57%	-0.01	3	-0.03	10	90%	-0.00
George McCloud	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	6	21%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	16	51%	-0.02	4	-0.08	13	54%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	11	87%	0.12	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Dino Radja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	63%	0.08	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	5	70%	0.05	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	54%	-0.00	4	-0.07	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	23.3	15.5	26.4	1.8	41.3	134.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.0%

BOS +2.2%

BOS +7.1%

BOS +3.8%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.6	91.0	106.1	104.4
season	15.9	14.8		99.1	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.7		109.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	15.7	14.7	10.1	13.6
BOS	14.6	17.0	15.9	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Dumas	43	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-17	20	12.3	14.5	-2.21	15.6	15.3	0.33
Oliver Miller	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-20	26	13.4	13.7	-0.35	17.7	13.6	4.11
Samaki Walker	17	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-7	0	11.8	13.9	-2.09	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Loren Meyer	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-4	-6	16.2	12.8	3.42	14.3	15.7	-1.48
Chris Gatling	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-14	14	12.8	15.4	-2.60	16.0	14.2	1.79
Derek Harper	44	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-2	-10	14.4	12.9	1.56	15.8	15.1	0.76
Eric Montross	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-4	-6	15.3	12.4	2.87	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Jason Kidd	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-9	4	13.0	14.8	-1.79	15.1	16.1	-0.98
George McCloud	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.28	-24	10	-34	13.9	13.0	0.83	14.3	17.4	-3.15
Jim Jackson	91	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-3	-8	13.6	13.2	0.37	15.1	18.0	-2.87

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dino Radja	85	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	3	8	15.7	13.4	2.29	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Dana Barros	99	99	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	0	14	15.4	0.0	15.39	13.7	2.0	11.68
Eric Williams	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	11	-8	16.2	14.0	2.16	13.6	13.5	0.14
Todd Day	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	3	8	17.6	13.1	4.50	13.8	13.4	0.40
Rick Fox	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	3	8	14.6	17.0	-2.41	14.6	11.5	3.10
Frank Brickowski	24	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	10	-6	16.7	15.0	1.79	14.7	13.2	1.46
Antoine Walker	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	15	-16	13.9	17.8	-3.85	12.4	15.3	-2.91
Greg Minor	22	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	8	-2	14.9	15.5	-0.62	13.1	13.7	-0.57
Marty Conlon	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.15	7	7	0	14.2	15.6	-1.47	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Brett Szabo	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	10	-6	8.9	15.9	-7.03	9.4	13.9	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SAC 86, LAL 113	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%