NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	2.6 [1181]		MVP	Brian Grant (SAC): +5.9%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.3 [509]		LVP	Chris Gatling (DAL): -15.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	14	59%	0.06	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	74%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	72%	0.06	5	-0.05	12	83%	-0.01
Lionel Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	42%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	41%	-0.04	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Tony Dumas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.07	10	65%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	16	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	-0.12	8	25%	-0.00	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.1%

SAC +3.5%

SAC +5.5%

SAC +17.2%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.6	112.6	100.0	104.4
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	13.8	14.9	18.1	15.7
DAL	14.6	18.1	13.9	12.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-6	25	14.9	16.6	-1.68	15.0	14.5	0.48
Michael Smith	39	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	1	11	15.4	16.0	-0.53	15.7	14.0	1.74
Duane Causwell	34	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	3	7	14.5	16.5	-1.99	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Mitch Richmond	85	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	2	9	16.4	10.5	5.86	15.1	11.7	3.38
Corliss Williamson	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	4	5	14.8	16.6	-1.83	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Brian Grant	66	65	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	13	-13	16.2	14.7	1.47	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Olden Polynice	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.23	11	2	9	16.2	15.3	0.89	15.7	13.9	1.84
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	49	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	16	-19	16.7	14.8	1.91	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Bobby Hurley	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	11.5	15.9	-4.43	6.3	15.0	-8.67
Kevin Gamble	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	16.4	15.7	0.69	5.7	15.4	-9.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	5.7	15.4	-9.73	16.4	15.7	0.69
Loren Meyer	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-10	7	15.4	14.4	1.04	16.1	15.6	0.47
Tony Dumas	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-13	13	14.9	14.6	0.31	16.1	15.6	0.50
Jason Kidd	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-3	-7	15.6	13.5	2.16	16.5	14.7	1.79
Oliver Miller	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-12	11	13.4	16.2	-2.83	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Jamal Mashburn	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-2	-9	16.3	13.8	2.46	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Eric Montross	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-1	-11	16.3	13.8	2.44	15.7	15.8	-0.04
George McCloud	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-13	13	13.8	16.9	-3.09	16.3	14.5	1.82
Derek Harper	39	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-10	7	13.5	15.6	-2.16	14.7	16.5	-1.79
Jim Jackson	79	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	14.4	16.7	-2.31	16.0	14.5	1.44
Chris Gatling	39	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.32	-24	11	-35	16.9	13.2	3.67	14.5	16.5	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 117, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
DAL 117, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 85, MIN 71	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%