NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	7.8 [64]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +32.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	2.3 [175]		LVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): -13.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	10	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Toumani Camara	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.09
Dalano Banton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	42%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.07	0.04	10	56%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	16	55%	0.07	6	-0.19	6	83%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	19	73%	0.38	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.11	0.04	19	54%	0.16	2	-0.02	14	100%	0.07
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Cason Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	26.3	14.8	27.1	2.3	41.4	137.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +4.7%

OKC +17.0%

POR -3.8%

OKC +34.2%

POR -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	14.4	100.0	110.1	112.0
season	14.1	13.8		105.6	112.6
opponent	14.6	14.3		102.2	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	13.3	12.6	13.6	13.7
OKC	15.8	13.9	18.7	13.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	40	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-15	20	13.7	13.7	-0.00	16.9	14.2	2.73
Kris Murray	10	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	11.7	14.0	-2.26	12.1	15.8	-3.73
Scoot Henderson	54	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	14.2	13.2	1.05	16.3	14.3	1.98
Dalano Banton	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	13.6	13.9	-0.35	14.5	16.4	-1.82
Deni Avdija	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	4	-18	14.0	13.4	0.61	13.2	17.7	-4.49
Toumani Camara	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-5	0	13.6	14.2	-0.64	16.1	12.8	3.36
Shaedon Sharpe	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	13.7	13.7	0.06	15.7	14.3	1.38
Jerami Grant	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-3	-4	13.3	15.8	-2.51	15.8	13.6	2.14
Robert Williams III	52	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	5	-20	14.4	13.0	1.43	14.6	16.1	-1.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	14.7	17.5	-2.87	14.1	12.5	1.57
Isaiah Hartenstein	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-6	22	14.3	17.1	-2.78	13.9	13.4	0.56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	3	4	15.9	13.5	2.45	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Cason Wallace	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	13	-16	15.7	15.0	0.68	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Ajay Mitchell	47	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	-2	14	15.0	15.7	-0.65	14.6	13.1	1.51
Luguentz Dort	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	13	-16	16.1	14.1	2.00	13.3	14.4	-1.17
Ousmane Dieng	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	4	2	13.7	15.9	-2.25	14.0	13.6	0.41
Alex Caruso	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	0	10	13.6	16.3	-2.75	14.0	13.6	0.46
Kenrich Williams	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	15.8	15.3	0.51	13.3	13.8	-0.48
Dillon Jones	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	10	-10	17.8	14.7	3.04	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Adam Flagler	1	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	10	-10	24.0	15.3	8.72	16.0	13.7	2.32
Aaron Wiggins	29	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	22	-34	17.7	14.4	3.29	13.1	14.0	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.89,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1	92.7%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	92.7%
WAS 125, ORL 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.5%